**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a sunny Saturday with northerly winds of 5–10 mph advecting cooler air under building high pressure, yielding a daytime high near the lower-to-mid 80s but with notable model spread favoring the upper 70s to low 80s.** Official NWS guidance lists 81–82 °F for NYC sites, close to the long-term August 29 average of 81.3 °F, while some private forecasts settle at 78 °F. Clear skies overnight will allow efficient radiational cooling, keeping morning lows in the mid-60s before daytime heating. With no significant moisture return or southerly flow expected until Sunday, traders have concentrated probability on the 78–81 °F bins as the most likely resolution range. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in NYC on August 29?
Highest temperature in NYC on August 29?
78-79°F 47%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 22%
82-83°F 6%
NEW
$14,911 Vol.
NEW
$14,911 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
69°F or below
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
22%
78-79°F
47%
80-81°F
27%
82-83°F
6%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88°F or higher
<1%
78-79°F 47%
80-81°F 27%
76-77°F 22%
82-83°F 6%
NEW
$14,911 Vol.
NEW
$14,911 Vol.
Aug 29, 2026
69°F or below
$226 Vol.
<1%
70-71°F
$236 Vol.
<1%
72-73°F
$387 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$947 Vol.
3%
76-77°F
$3,088 Vol.
22%
78-79°F
$3,392 Vol.
47%
80-81°F
$3,278 Vol.
27%
82-83°F
$1,753 Vol.
6%
84-85°F
$890 Vol.
2%
86-87°F
$293 Vol.
<1%
88°F or higher
$422 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a sunny Saturday with northerly winds of 5–10 mph advecting cooler air under building high pressure, yielding a daytime high near the lower-to-mid 80s but with notable model spread favoring the upper 70s to low 80s.**
Official NWS guidance lists 81–82 °F for NYC sites, close to the long-term August 29 average of 81.3 °F, while some private forecasts settle at 78 °F. Clear skies overnight will allow efficient radiational cooling, keeping morning lows in the mid-60s before daytime heating. With no significant moisture return or southerly flow expected until Sunday, traders have concentrated probability on the 78–81 °F bins as the most likely resolution range. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Volume
$14,911End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a sunny Saturday with northerly winds of 5–10 mph advecting cooler air under building high pressure, yielding a daytime high near the lower-to-mid 80s but with notable model spread favoring the upper 70s to low 80s.**
Official NWS guidance lists 81–82 °F for NYC sites, close to the long-term August 29 average of 81.3 °F, while some private forecasts settle at 78 °F. Clear skies overnight will allow efficient radiational cooling, keeping morning lows in the mid-60s before daytime heating. With no significant moisture return or southerly flow expected until Sunday, traders have concentrated probability on the 78–81 °F bins as the most likely resolution range. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,911End Date
Aug 29, 2026Market Opened
Aug 27, 2026, 8:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klgaResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from National Weather Service and other models points to a sunny Saturday with northerly winds of 5–10 mph advecting cooler air under building high pressure, yielding a daytime high near the lower-to-mid 80s but with notable model spread favoring the upper 70s to low 80s.** Official NWS guidance lists 81–82 °F for NYC sites, close to the long-term August 29 average of 81.3 °F, while some private forecasts settle at 78 °F. Clear skies overnight will allow efficient radiational cooling, keeping morning lows in the mid-60s before daytime heating. With no significant moisture return or southerly flow expected until Sunday, traders have concentrated probability on the 78–81 °F bins as the most likely resolution range. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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