**Trader sentiment centers on official forecasts and recent observations favoring a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Singapore on August 31.** The Meteorological Service Singapore’s fortnightly outlook for the second half of August highlights prevailing southwest monsoon conditions with southeasterly to southwesterly winds, localized afternoon thundery showers, and below-average rainfall, which typically allows greater daytime heating. Daily maxima are projected in the 33–34°C range on most days, occasionally reaching 35°C, consistent with observed values this month that have frequently exceeded 33°C and peaked at 34.9°C. Short-range models show highs near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with storm chances, yet the broader pattern and recent warm anomalies support the market’s emphasis on 33°C (53% implied probability). Resolution depends on the official highest reading across stations on the day, with limited upside risk from clearer conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Singapore on August 31?
33°C 55%
32°C 36%
34°C 9%
31°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
36%
33°C
55%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
33°C 55%
32°C 36%
34°C 9%
31°C 5%
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
5%
32°C
36%
33°C
55%
34°C
9%
35°C
2%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsss
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wsssResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment centers on official forecasts and recent observations favoring a daily maximum of 32–33°C for Singapore on August 31.** The Meteorological Service Singapore’s fortnightly outlook for the second half of August highlights prevailing southwest monsoon conditions with southeasterly to southwesterly winds, localized afternoon thundery showers, and below-average rainfall, which typically allows greater daytime heating. Daily maxima are projected in the 33–34°C range on most days, occasionally reaching 35°C, consistent with observed values this month that have frequently exceeded 33°C and peaked at 34.9°C. Short-range models show highs near 31–32°C under partly cloudy skies with storm chances, yet the broader pattern and recent warm anomalies support the market’s emphasis on 33°C (53% implied probability). Resolution depends on the official highest reading across stations on the day, with limited upside risk from clearer conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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