Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding the 54.3 consensus and July’s 54.1, has shaped trader positioning for September by highlighting resilient demand alongside persistent cost pressures. Business activity rose to 61.7 and new orders to 60.9, supported by summer seasonality, while the prices index climbed to 72.6 amid tariff and Middle East supply-chain effects. Employment remained in contraction at 47.8, tempering upside expectations and anchoring market-implied odds near the mid-50s range with notable probability on 57-plus outcomes. The September reading, due October 5, will test whether momentum sustains or moderates toward the sector’s recent 12-month average near 53.7.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated53.0 to 53.9 22%
54.0 to 54.9 19%
57.0 to 57.9 16.7%
55.0 to 55.9 15.4%
$15,868 Vol.
$15,868 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
<51.0
<1%
51.0 to 51.9
<1%
52.0 to 52.9
9%
53.0 to 53.9
22%
54.0 to 54.9
19%
55.0 to 55.9
15%
56.0 to 56.9
12%
57.0 to 57.9
17%
58.0 to 58.9
<1%
59.0+
8%
53.0 to 53.9 22%
54.0 to 54.9 19%
57.0 to 57.9 16.7%
55.0 to 55.9 15.4%
$15,868 Vol.
$15,868 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
<51.0
$913 Vol.
<1%
51.0 to 51.9
$169 Vol.
<1%
52.0 to 52.9
$167 Vol.
9%
53.0 to 53.9
$2,022 Vol.
22%
54.0 to 54.9
$6,578 Vol.
19%
55.0 to 55.9
$259 Vol.
15%
56.0 to 56.9
$818 Vol.
12%
57.0 to 57.9
$4,523 Vol.
17%
58.0 to 58.9
$201 Vol.
<1%
59.0+
$219 Vol.
8%
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding the 54.3 consensus and July’s 54.1, has shaped trader positioning for September by highlighting resilient demand alongside persistent cost pressures. Business activity rose to 61.7 and new orders to 60.9, supported by summer seasonality, while the prices index climbed to 72.6 amid tariff and Middle East supply-chain effects. Employment remained in contraction at 47.8, tempering upside expectations and anchoring market-implied odds near the mid-50s range with notable probability on 57-plus outcomes. The September reading, due October 5, will test whether momentum sustains or moderates toward the sector’s recent 12-month average near 53.7.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Volume
$15,868End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding the 54.3 consensus and July’s 54.1, has shaped trader positioning for September by highlighting resilient demand alongside persistent cost pressures. Business activity rose to 61.7 and new orders to 60.9, supported by summer seasonality, while the prices index climbed to 72.6 amid tariff and Middle East supply-chain effects. Employment remained in contraction at 47.8, tempering upside expectations and anchoring market-implied odds near the mid-50s range with notable probability on 57-plus outcomes. The September reading, due October 5, will test whether momentum sustains or moderates toward the sector’s recent 12-month average near 53.7.
This is a market about the ISM Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for September 2026, as reported by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). A reading above 50 indicates expansion in the services sector relative to the previous month; a reading below 50 indicates contraction.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the ISM Services PMI for September 2026 according to the monthly ISM Services PMI Report On Business.
The resolution source for this market will be the ISM Services PMI Report On Business released for September 2026 (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/ism-report-on-business/), currently scheduled to be released on October 5, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: although ISM describes the PMI reading using the term "percent" in its official release (e.g., "The Services PMI registered 53.6 percent"), the PMI is a diffusion index, not a true percentage. For the purposes of this market, the PMI reading will be treated as a plain numerical value, consistent with how the index is universally quoted in financial markets.
Note: The ISM Services PMI is reported to one decimal point. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market.
If ISM does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open until the scheduled release time of the next ISM Services PMI report (https://www.ismworld.org/supply-management-news-and-reports/reports/rob-report-calendar/). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$15,868End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 4:01 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent August ISM Services PMI strength at 55.4, exceeding the 54.3 consensus and July’s 54.1, has shaped trader positioning for September by highlighting resilient demand alongside persistent cost pressures. Business activity rose to 61.7 and new orders to 60.9, supported by summer seasonality, while the prices index climbed to 72.6 amid tariff and Middle East supply-chain effects. Employment remained in contraction at 47.8, tempering upside expectations and anchoring market-implied odds near the mid-50s range with notable probability on 57-plus outcomes. The September reading, due October 5, will test whether momentum sustains or moderates toward the sector’s recent 12-month average near 53.7.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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