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icon for Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Claude Villeneuve 49%

Sol Zanetti 40%

Nathalie St-Pierre 3.0%

Nancy Joannette <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Claude Villeneuve 49%

Sol Zanetti 40%

Nathalie St-Pierre 3.0%

Nancy Joannette <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Claude Villeneuve

Claude Villeneuve

$3,539 Vol.

49%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$1,602 Vol.

40%

icon for Nathalie St-Pierre

Nathalie St-Pierre

$946 Vol.

3%

icon for Nancy Joannette

Nancy Joannette

$752 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gertrude Bourdon

Gertrude Bourdon

$650 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding remains a tight contest between incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire and Parti québécois candidate Claude Villeneuve ahead of the October 5 general election. Recent 338Canada and Qc125 projections place the two parties in a statistical toss-up, with vote estimates inside the margin of error after boundary redistribution and amid broader provincial polling that shows the PQ competitive in the Quebec City area. Zanetti’s role as QS co-spokesperson supplies added name recognition, while Villeneuve benefits from PQ momentum in francophone ridings. Conservative support near 20 percent and the presence of CAQ and Liberal candidates further fragment the field. Upcoming leader debates, final campaign spending disclosures, and turnout among progressive versus sovereignty-focused voters could shift the narrow gap before election night.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$7,488
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Jean-Lesage riding remains a tight contest between incumbent Sol Zanetti of Québec solidaire and Parti québécois candidate Claude Villeneuve ahead of the October 5 general election. Recent 338Canada and Qc125 projections place the two parties in a statistical toss-up, with vote estimates inside the margin of error after boundary redistribution and amid broader provincial polling that shows the PQ competitive in the Quebec City area. Zanetti’s role as QS co-spokesperson supplies added name recognition, while Villeneuve benefits from PQ momentum in francophone ridings. Conservative support near 20 percent and the presence of CAQ and Liberal candidates further fragment the field. Upcoming leader debates, final campaign spending disclosures, and turnout among progressive versus sovereignty-focused voters could shift the narrow gap before election night.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$7,488
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Claude Villeneuve" at 49%, followed by "Sol Zanetti" at 40%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Claude Villeneuve" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Sol Zanetti" at 40%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Jean-Lesage Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.