The Lima mayoral race remains fragmented heading into the October 4, 2026, vote, with no candidate exceeding roughly one-third support in recent polling. Rafael López Aliaga’s Renovación Popular ticket gained ground after Luis Rubio’s July withdrawal positioned López Aliaga as the leading candidate, aligning with his 32% market price. Carlos Bruce of Somos Perú follows closely at 29%, while Francis Allison and others trail further behind amid roughly 20% undecided voters. High candidate volume, district-level variation, and limited name recognition for most contenders sustain the tight distribution of probabilities, leaving room for late shifts from turnout patterns or final campaign momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedRafael López Aliaga 32.1%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 29%
Francis James Allison Oyague 15%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 6.6%
$57,464 Vol.
$57,464 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
32%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
29%
Francis James Allison Oyague
15%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
7%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
6%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
4%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
4%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
3%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
3%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
3%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
2%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
2%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
2%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
2%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
2%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
2%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
1%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
1%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
1%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
<1%
Yehude Simón Munaro
<1%
Rafael López Aliaga 32.1%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 29%
Francis James Allison Oyague 15%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 6.6%
$57,464 Vol.
$57,464 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Rafael López Aliaga
$391 Vol.
32%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
$19,664 Vol.
29%
Francis James Allison Oyague
$13,626 Vol.
15%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
$5,582 Vol.
7%
Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
$459 Vol.
6%
Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
$1,123 Vol.
4%
Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
$240 Vol.
4%
Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
$311 Vol.
3%
Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
$709 Vol.
3%
Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
$378 Vol.
3%
Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
$547 Vol.
2%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
$7,356 Vol.
2%
Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
$342 Vol.
2%
Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
$471 Vol.
2%
Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
$414 Vol.
2%
Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
$1,173 Vol.
2%
Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
$611 Vol.
1%
Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
$262 Vol.
1%
Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
$245 Vol.
1%
Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
$280 Vol.
1%
Segundo Valdez Zavala
$255 Vol.
1%
Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
$261 Vol.
<1%
Yehude Simón Munaro
$2,765 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The Lima mayoral race remains fragmented heading into the October 4, 2026, vote, with no candidate exceeding roughly one-third support in recent polling. Rafael López Aliaga’s Renovación Popular ticket gained ground after Luis Rubio’s July withdrawal positioned López Aliaga as the leading candidate, aligning with his 32% market price. Carlos Bruce of Somos Perú follows closely at 29%, while Francis Allison and others trail further behind amid roughly 20% undecided voters. High candidate volume, district-level variation, and limited name recognition for most contenders sustain the tight distribution of probabilities, leaving room for late shifts from turnout patterns or final campaign momentum.
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Market Opened: Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volume
$57,464End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The Lima mayoral race remains fragmented heading into the October 4, 2026, vote, with no candidate exceeding roughly one-third support in recent polling. Rafael López Aliaga’s Renovación Popular ticket gained ground after Luis Rubio’s July withdrawal positioned López Aliaga as the leading candidate, aligning with his 32% market price. Carlos Bruce of Somos Perú follows closely at 29%, while Francis Allison and others trail further behind amid roughly 20% undecided voters. High candidate volume, district-level variation, and limited name recognition for most contenders sustain the tight distribution of probabilities, leaving room for late shifts from turnout patterns or final campaign momentum.
The 2026 Lima, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$57,464End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Lima mayoral race remains fragmented heading into the October 4, 2026, vote, with no candidate exceeding roughly one-third support in recent polling. Rafael López Aliaga’s Renovación Popular ticket gained ground after Luis Rubio’s July withdrawal positioned López Aliaga as the leading candidate, aligning with his 32% market price. Carlos Bruce of Somos Perú follows closely at 29%, while Francis Allison and others trail further behind amid roughly 20% undecided voters. High candidate volume, district-level variation, and limited name recognition for most contenders sustain the tight distribution of probabilities, leaving room for late shifts from turnout patterns or final campaign momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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