Persistent high humidity from the North Pacific high-pressure system, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Busan and sustaining elevated minimum temperatures. Official KMA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows clustered between 26–28 °C, with light southerly winds and dew points near 26 °C further suppressing drops below 25 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing and intensity of precipitation, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C. Updated KMA briefings and next model cycles will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 27?
27°C 48%
25°C 47%
23°C or below 40%
26°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
40%
24°C
1%
25°C
47%
26°C
37%
27°C
48%
28°C
48%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 48%
25°C 47%
23°C or below 40%
26°C 37%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
23°C or below
$157 Vol.
40%
24°C
$15 Vol.
1%
25°C
$8 Vol.
47%
26°C
$819 Vol.
37%
27°C
$1 Vol.
48%
28°C
$9 Vol.
48%
29°C
$115 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$90 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$230 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$535 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity from the North Pacific high-pressure system, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Busan and sustaining elevated minimum temperatures. Official KMA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows clustered between 26–28 °C, with light southerly winds and dew points near 26 °C further suppressing drops below 25 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing and intensity of precipitation, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C. Updated KMA briefings and next model cycles will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$2,014End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent high humidity from the North Pacific high-pressure system, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Busan and sustaining elevated minimum temperatures. Official KMA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows clustered between 26–28 °C, with light southerly winds and dew points near 26 °C further suppressing drops below 25 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing and intensity of precipitation, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C. Updated KMA briefings and next model cycles will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,014End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rkpkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent high humidity from the North Pacific high-pressure system, combined with widespread cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms, is limiting nocturnal radiative cooling in Busan and sustaining elevated minimum temperatures. Official KMA guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate overnight lows clustered between 26–28 °C, with light southerly winds and dew points near 26 °C further suppressing drops below 25 °C. Recent model runs show modest spread in the timing and intensity of precipitation, which accounts for the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 25 °C, 27 °C, and 28 °C. Updated KMA briefings and next model cycles will refine the precise minimum before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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