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Politics·Global Elections

Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Global Elections

Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner

Polymarket
NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Chung Tung-chin

Chung Tung-chin

$689 Vol.

89%

icon for Chen Pin-an

Chen Pin-an

$819 Vol.

8%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Chung Tung-chin holds a dominant position as the KMT-nominated incumbent in Miaoli County, a longstanding pan-blue stronghold where the party or aligned independents have won every magistrate election since 1950.** He rejoined the KMT in September 2025 after winning as an independent in 2022 and benefits from strong local organization, no credible intra-party challengers, and recent satisfaction surveys showing approval ratings near 75% with high marks on welfare, agriculture, tourism, and infrastructure. The DPP’s nomination of county councilor Chen Pin-an in late 2025 introduces a younger, professionally credentialed opponent focused on expanded childcare, elderly benefits, and cross-party appeals, but the party has never carried the county and faces structural headwinds. Candidate registration is imminent (late August to early September 2026) ahead of the November 28 vote, with market pricing reflecting the limited realistic pathways for other entrants to alter the outcome.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,508
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Chung Tung-chin holds a dominant position as the KMT-nominated incumbent in Miaoli County, a longstanding pan-blue stronghold where the party or aligned independents have won every magistrate election since 1950.** He rejoined the KMT in September 2025 after winning as an independent in 2022 and benefits from strong local organization, no credible intra-party challengers, and recent satisfaction surveys showing approval ratings near 75% with high marks on welfare, agriculture, tourism, and infrastructure. The DPP’s nomination of county councilor Chen Pin-an in late 2025 introduces a younger, professionally credentialed opponent focused on expanded childcare, elderly benefits, and cross-party appeals, but the party has never carried the county and faces structural headwinds. Candidate registration is imminent (late August to early September 2026) ahead of the November 28 vote, with market pricing reflecting the limited realistic pathways for other entrants to alter the outcome.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$1,508
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:56 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chung Tung-chin" at 89%, followed by "Chen Pin-an" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Chung Tung-chin" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chen Pin-an" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Miaoli County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.