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Politics·Mexico

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

icon for Michoacán Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

Carlos Torres Piña 30.7%

Grecia Quiroz 29.6%

Fabiola Alanís Sámano 10%

Carlos Herrera Tello 8.3%

Polymarket

$16,366 Vol.

Carlos Torres Piña 30.7%

Grecia Quiroz 29.6%

Fabiola Alanís Sámano 10%

Carlos Herrera Tello 8.3%

Polymarket

$16,366 Vol.

icon for Carlos Torres Piña

Carlos Torres Piña

$5,497 Vol.

31%

icon for Grecia Quiroz

Grecia Quiroz

$2,428 Vol.

30%

icon for Fabiola Alanís Sámano

Fabiola Alanís Sámano

$4,090 Vol.

10%

icon for Carlos Herrera Tello

Carlos Herrera Tello

$233 Vol.

8%

icon for Germán Martínez Cázares

Germán Martínez Cázares

$224 Vol.

4%

icon for Alfonso Martínez Alcázar

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar

$221 Vol.

4%

icon for Edna Martínez Nambo

Edna Martínez Nambo

$236 Vol.

3%

icon for Guillermo Valencia Reyes

Guillermo Valencia Reyes

$213 Vol.

3%

icon for Marko Cortés Mendoza

Marko Cortés Mendoza

$259 Vol.

2%

icon for Daniela de los Santos

Daniela de los Santos

$225 Vol.

2%

icon for Esteban González Nava

Esteban González Nava

$190 Vol.

2%

icon for Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna

Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna

$234 Vol.

1%

icon for Raúl Morón Orozco

Raúl Morón Orozco

$243 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gabriela Molina Aguilar

Gabriela Molina Aguilar

$203 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz

Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz

$217 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adriana Hernández Íñiguez

Adriana Hernández Íñiguez

$217 Vol.

<1%

icon for Víctor Manuel Manríquez

Víctor Manuel Manríquez

$210 Vol.

<1%

icon for Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza

Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza

$210 Vol.

<1%

icon for Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes

Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes

$221 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ernesto Núñez Aguilar

Ernesto Núñez Aguilar

$290 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gladyz Butanda Macías

Gladyz Butanda Macías

$282 Vol.

<1%

icon for Celeste Ascencio Ortega

Celeste Ascencio Ortega

$219 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Michoacán 2027 gubernatorial race remains tightly contested in trader pricing, with Carlos Torres Piña and Grecia Quiroz leading at 31% and 29.6% respectively amid broad uncertainty across dozens of lower-probability names. Morena maintains a consistent edge in party-level polling (typically 36–43%), yet its internal nomination process features a competitive field including Torres Piña, Fabiola Alanís Sámano, and Raúl Morón, whose relative standings have fluctuated in recent surveys. Quiroz’s independent bid draws comparable support in head-to-head matchups, aided by her profile and the “Movimiento del Sombrero” grouping. A May 2026 electoral reform restricting independent candidacies and joint campaigns faces an ongoing Supreme Court challenge, with the latest postponement in late August keeping procedural rules in flux ahead of the September 10 process start. These overlapping party, candidate, and legal dynamics sustain the narrow spread between frontrunners.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$16,366
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Michoacán 2027 gubernatorial race remains tightly contested in trader pricing, with Carlos Torres Piña and Grecia Quiroz leading at 31% and 29.6% respectively amid broad uncertainty across dozens of lower-probability names. Morena maintains a consistent edge in party-level polling (typically 36–43%), yet its internal nomination process features a competitive field including Torres Piña, Fabiola Alanís Sámano, and Raúl Morón, whose relative standings have fluctuated in recent surveys. Quiroz’s independent bid draws comparable support in head-to-head matchups, aided by her profile and the “Movimiento del Sombrero” grouping. A May 2026 electoral reform restricting independent candidacies and joint campaigns faces an ongoing Supreme Court challenge, with the latest postponement in late August keeping procedural rules in flux ahead of the September 10 process start. These overlapping party, candidate, and legal dynamics sustain the narrow spread between frontrunners.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$16,366
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michoacán Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Carlos Torres Piña" at 31%, followed by "Grecia Quiroz" at 30%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 31¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Michoacán Governor Election Winner" has generated $16.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Michoacán Governor Election Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michoacán Governor Election Winner" is "Carlos Torres Piña" at 31%, meaning the market assigns a 31% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Grecia Quiroz" at 30%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michoacán Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.