**Recent softening in July PPI to 4.7% YoY from 5.5% in June has not shifted trader expectations for a rebound in the August reading.** Market-implied odds place the strongest weight (58%) on 5.1%+, reflecting anticipation that energy price stabilization, goods components, and base effects could lift the year-over-year rate despite July’s flat monthly print and weaker-than-expected core measures. The July decline was driven by a 3.1% drop in energy prices and softer goods inflation, partially offset by services gains, aligning with broader cooling signals in CPI and labor data that have tempered near-term rate-hike probabilities. With the August PPI release scheduled for September 10, traders are pricing in the potential for reacceleration tied to commodity trends and upstream cost pressures, while acknowledging volatility in volatile categories like energy and trade services. This positioning underscores how aggregated real-money bets capture evolving input-price dynamics ahead of the official BLS print.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5.1%+ 58%
4.9% 8%
5.0% 7.3%
4.8% 3.9%
$16,421 Vol.
$16,421 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤4.2%
1%
4.3%
1%
4.4%
<1%
4.5%
2%
4.6%
2%
4.7%
3%
4.8%
4%
4.9%
8%
5.0%
7%
5.1%+
58%
5.1%+ 58%
4.9% 8%
5.0% 7.3%
4.8% 3.9%
$16,421 Vol.
$16,421 Vol.
Sep 10, 2026
≤4.2%
$431 Vol.
1%
4.3%
$308 Vol.
1%
4.4%
$323 Vol.
<1%
4.5%
$392 Vol.
2%
4.6%
$331 Vol.
2%
4.7%
$612 Vol.
3%
4.8%
$548 Vol.
4%
4.9%
$767 Vol.
8%
5.0%
$2,779 Vol.
7%
5.1%+
$9,930 Vol.
58%
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Recent softening in July PPI to 4.7% YoY from 5.5% in June has not shifted trader expectations for a rebound in the August reading.** Market-implied odds place the strongest weight (58%) on 5.1%+, reflecting anticipation that energy price stabilization, goods components, and base effects could lift the year-over-year rate despite July’s flat monthly print and weaker-than-expected core measures.
The July decline was driven by a 3.1% drop in energy prices and softer goods inflation, partially offset by services gains, aligning with broader cooling signals in CPI and labor data that have tempered near-term rate-hike probabilities. With the August PPI release scheduled for September 10, traders are pricing in the potential for reacceleration tied to commodity trends and upstream cost pressures, while acknowledging volatility in volatile categories like energy and trade services. This positioning underscores how aggregated real-money bets capture evolving input-price dynamics ahead of the official BLS print.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Volume
$16,421End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.**Recent softening in July PPI to 4.7% YoY from 5.5% in June has not shifted trader expectations for a rebound in the August reading.** Market-implied odds place the strongest weight (58%) on 5.1%+, reflecting anticipation that energy price stabilization, goods components, and base effects could lift the year-over-year rate despite July’s flat monthly print and weaker-than-expected core measures.
The July decline was driven by a 3.1% drop in energy prices and softer goods inflation, partially offset by services gains, aligning with broader cooling signals in CPI and labor data that have tempered near-term rate-hike probabilities. With the August PPI release scheduled for September 10, traders are pricing in the potential for reacceleration tied to commodity trends and upstream cost pressures, while acknowledging volatility in volatile categories like energy and trade services. This positioning underscores how aggregated real-money bets capture evolving input-price dynamics ahead of the official BLS print.
This is a market about the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$16,421End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent softening in July PPI to 4.7% YoY from 5.5% in June has not shifted trader expectations for a rebound in the August reading.** Market-implied odds place the strongest weight (58%) on 5.1%+, reflecting anticipation that energy price stabilization, goods components, and base effects could lift the year-over-year rate despite July’s flat monthly print and weaker-than-expected core measures. The July decline was driven by a 3.1% drop in energy prices and softer goods inflation, partially offset by services gains, aligning with broader cooling signals in CPI and labor data that have tempered near-term rate-hike probabilities. With the August PPI release scheduled for September 10, traders are pricing in the potential for reacceleration tied to commodity trends and upstream cost pressures, while acknowledging volatility in volatile categories like energy and trade services. This positioning underscores how aggregated real-money bets capture evolving input-price dynamics ahead of the official BLS print.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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