Skip to main content
icon for Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner

icon for Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner

Eugenio Segura Vázquez 62%

Rafael Marín Mollinedo 12.6%

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña 12%

Alexa Murguía Trujillo 4.0%

Polymarket

$13,253 Vol.

Eugenio Segura Vázquez 62%

Rafael Marín Mollinedo 12.6%

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña 12%

Alexa Murguía Trujillo 4.0%

Polymarket

$13,253 Vol.

icon for Eugenio Segura Vázquez

Eugenio Segura Vázquez

$2,556 Vol.

62%

icon for Rafael Marín Mollinedo

Rafael Marín Mollinedo

$761 Vol.

13%

icon for Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña

$2,437 Vol.

12%

icon for Alexa Murguía Trujillo

Alexa Murguía Trujillo

$376 Vol.

4%

icon for Pedro José Flota Alcocer

Pedro José Flota Alcocer

$243 Vol.

4%

icon for Reyna Tamayo Carballo

Reyna Tamayo Carballo

$372 Vol.

3%

icon for José Luis Pech Várguez

José Luis Pech Várguez

$317 Vol.

3%

icon for Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux

Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux

$282 Vol.

3%

icon for Lidia Rojas Fabro

Lidia Rojas Fabro

$226 Vol.

3%

icon for Amalia Castilla Madrid

Amalia Castilla Madrid

$246 Vol.

3%

icon for Marybel Villegas Canché

Marybel Villegas Canché

$2,227 Vol.

2%

icon for Mayuli Martínez Simón

Mayuli Martínez Simón

$291 Vol.

2%

icon for Estefanía Mercado Asencio

Estefanía Mercado Asencio

$1,969 Vol.

2%

icon for Filiberto Martínez Méndez

Filiberto Martínez Méndez

$378 Vol.

2%

icon for David Ortiz Mena

David Ortiz Mena

$326 Vol.

1%

icon for Leslie Hendricks Rubio

Leslie Hendricks Rubio

$246 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**Eugenio Segura Vázquez leads the Quintana Roo governor race at 62% on Polymarket, reflecting his dominant position in Morena’s internal process for the 2027 election.** Multiple June–July 2026 surveys from firms including Destino 27, Massive Caller, GobernArte, and CE Research placed the senator and former state finance secretary at 36–42% among Morena sympathizers for the party’s coordination role—the step that determines its gubernatorial nominee—well ahead of Cancún mayor Ana Patricia Peralta (19–27%), Rafael Marín Mollinedo (6–12%), Estefanía Mercado, Marybel Villegas Canché, and Alexa Murguía Trujillo. In hypothetical general-election matchups, Segura-backed Morena-PT-PVEM coalitions reached 45–47% support, consistent with the party’s 46–57% identification in the state. The five main Morena aspirants formally registered in late June 2026, but the national party has not yet announced the final coordinator as of late August. Opposition figures such as Mayuli Martínez Simón (PAN), Roberto Palazuelos (MC), Filiberto Martínez Méndez (PRI), and others register single-digit or lower support in the same polls, aligning with their 3–12% market prices. No major shifts have altered Segura’s frontrunner status since the registration period; trader consensus therefore prices him as the implied favorite to win the June 2027 election given Morena’s structural advantage and his consistent polling margin.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$13,253
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**Eugenio Segura Vázquez leads the Quintana Roo governor race at 62% on Polymarket, reflecting his dominant position in Morena’s internal process for the 2027 election.** Multiple June–July 2026 surveys from firms including Destino 27, Massive Caller, GobernArte, and CE Research placed the senator and former state finance secretary at 36–42% among Morena sympathizers for the party’s coordination role—the step that determines its gubernatorial nominee—well ahead of Cancún mayor Ana Patricia Peralta (19–27%), Rafael Marín Mollinedo (6–12%), Estefanía Mercado, Marybel Villegas Canché, and Alexa Murguía Trujillo. In hypothetical general-election matchups, Segura-backed Morena-PT-PVEM coalitions reached 45–47% support, consistent with the party’s 46–57% identification in the state. The five main Morena aspirants formally registered in late June 2026, but the national party has not yet announced the final coordinator as of late August. Opposition figures such as Mayuli Martínez Simón (PAN), Roberto Palazuelos (MC), Filiberto Martínez Méndez (PRI), and others register single-digit or lower support in the same polls, aligning with their 3–12% market prices. No major shifts have altered Segura’s frontrunner status since the registration period; trader consensus therefore prices him as the implied favorite to win the June 2027 election given Morena’s structural advantage and his consistent polling margin.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$13,253
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

Related

icon for Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?

Will Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero win the 2027 Querétaro Governor Election?

37%
icon for Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?

Will Ulises Mejía Haro win the 2027 Zacatecas Governor Election?

47%
icon for Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

Will Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera win the 2027 Colima Governor Election?

79%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Eugenio Segura Vázquez" at 62%, followed by "Rafael Marín Mollinedo" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 62¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner" has generated $13.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner" is "Eugenio Segura Vázquez" at 62%, meaning the market assigns a 62% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rafael Marín Mollinedo" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.