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icon for Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Gisèle Pouhe Njall 52%

Pierre-Luc Brillant 31%

David Lavoie <1%

Mildred Mathieu <1%

Polymarket

$10,472 Vol.

Gisèle Pouhe Njall 52%

Pierre-Luc Brillant 31%

David Lavoie <1%

Mildred Mathieu <1%

Polymarket

$10,472 Vol.

icon for Gisèle Pouhe Njall

Gisèle Pouhe Njall

$4,818 Vol.

52%

icon for Pierre-Luc Brillant

Pierre-Luc Brillant

$1,950 Vol.

34%

icon for David Lavoie

David Lavoie

$1,916 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mildred Mathieu

Mildred Mathieu

$847 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nour Aliyah Attié

Nour Aliyah Attié

$941 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Gisèle Pouhe Njall of Québec solidaire holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Rosemont riding in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, followed closely by Parti Québécois nominee Pierre-Luc Brillant.** The riding, long a QS stronghold after Vincent Marissal’s victories in 2018 and 2022, became more competitive after the incumbent independent announced he would not seek re-election. Recent polling aggregates and seat models treat the contest as a toss-up between the two left-leaning parties, with QS retaining a modest edge in projected vote share. Lower odds for the Liberal, CAQ, and Conservative candidates reflect their weaker historical performance in the Montreal district. The tight market reflects uncertainty over turnout among progressive and sovereigntist voters, local priorities such as housing affordability and hospital reconstruction, and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Any late-campaign shifts in provincial polling or candidate-specific momentum could widen the gap before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$10,472
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).**Gisèle Pouhe Njall of Québec solidaire holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Rosemont riding in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election, followed closely by Parti Québécois nominee Pierre-Luc Brillant.** The riding, long a QS stronghold after Vincent Marissal’s victories in 2018 and 2022, became more competitive after the incumbent independent announced he would not seek re-election. Recent polling aggregates and seat models treat the contest as a toss-up between the two left-leaning parties, with QS retaining a modest edge in projected vote share. Lower odds for the Liberal, CAQ, and Conservative candidates reflect their weaker historical performance in the Montreal district. The tight market reflects uncertainty over turnout among progressive and sovereigntist voters, local priorities such as housing affordability and hospital reconstruction, and the absence of an incumbent advantage. Any late-campaign shifts in provincial polling or candidate-specific momentum could widen the gap before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Rosemont Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$10,472
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:51 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Gisèle Pouhe Njall" at 52%, followed by "Pierre-Luc Brillant" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 52¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" has generated $10.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Gisèle Pouhe Njall" at 52%, meaning the market assigns a 52% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pierre-Luc Brillant" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Rosemont Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.