The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August 2026 printed at 51.0, down 4.2 points from July’s final 55.2 and below economist expectations near 54.5, anchoring the 49.0–51.9 bracket with a 69.5% market-implied probability ahead of the August 28 final release. The decline reflected broad weakening in both current conditions (to 51.8) and expectations (to 50.6) components, driven by sharper pessimism on short- and long-term business conditions, slightly higher one-year inflation expectations at 4.3%, and ongoing cost-of-living pressures tied to energy prices following Middle East developments. Reductions were most pronounced among older, lower-income, and less-educated households, with only 8% of respondents expecting income growth to outpace inflation. Final readings historically show limited revisions from the preliminary print, supporting the strong trader consensus around the observed level while leaving modest room for adjustment on the August 28 data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated49.0–51.9 70%
<49.0 17.3%
52.0–54.9 6%
61.0–63.9 1.4%
$39,796 Vol.
$39,796 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
17%
49.0–51.9
70%
52.0–54.9
6%
55.0–57.9
<1%
58.0–60.9
1%
61.0–63.9
1%
64.0+
<1%
49.0–51.9 70%
<49.0 17.3%
52.0–54.9 6%
61.0–63.9 1.4%
$39,796 Vol.
$39,796 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
$1,329 Vol.
17%
49.0–51.9
$15,269 Vol.
70%
52.0–54.9
$15,538 Vol.
6%
55.0–57.9
$3,994 Vol.
<1%
58.0–60.9
$1,543 Vol.
1%
61.0–63.9
$1,034 Vol.
1%
64.0+
$1,089 Vol.
<1%
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August 2026 printed at 51.0, down 4.2 points from July’s final 55.2 and below economist expectations near 54.5, anchoring the 49.0–51.9 bracket with a 69.5% market-implied probability ahead of the August 28 final release. The decline reflected broad weakening in both current conditions (to 51.8) and expectations (to 50.6) components, driven by sharper pessimism on short- and long-term business conditions, slightly higher one-year inflation expectations at 4.3%, and ongoing cost-of-living pressures tied to energy prices following Middle East developments. Reductions were most pronounced among older, lower-income, and less-educated households, with only 8% of respondents expecting income growth to outpace inflation. Final readings historically show limited revisions from the preliminary print, supporting the strong trader consensus around the observed level while leaving modest room for adjustment on the August 28 data.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$39,796End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August 2026 printed at 51.0, down 4.2 points from July’s final 55.2 and below economist expectations near 54.5, anchoring the 49.0–51.9 bracket with a 69.5% market-implied probability ahead of the August 28 final release. The decline reflected broad weakening in both current conditions (to 51.8) and expectations (to 50.6) components, driven by sharper pessimism on short- and long-term business conditions, slightly higher one-year inflation expectations at 4.3%, and ongoing cost-of-living pressures tied to energy prices following Middle East developments. Reductions were most pronounced among older, lower-income, and less-educated households, with only 8% of respondents expecting income growth to outpace inflation. Final readings historically show limited revisions from the preliminary print, supporting the strong trader consensus around the observed level while leaving modest room for adjustment on the August 28 data.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$39,796End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The preliminary University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index for August 2026 printed at 51.0, down 4.2 points from July’s final 55.2 and below economist expectations near 54.5, anchoring the 49.0–51.9 bracket with a 69.5% market-implied probability ahead of the August 28 final release. The decline reflected broad weakening in both current conditions (to 51.8) and expectations (to 50.6) components, driven by sharper pessimism on short- and long-term business conditions, slightly higher one-year inflation expectations at 4.3%, and ongoing cost-of-living pressures tied to energy prices following Middle East developments. Reductions were most pronounced among older, lower-income, and less-educated households, with only 8% of respondents expecting income growth to outpace inflation. Final readings historically show limited revisions from the preliminary print, supporting the strong trader consensus around the observed level while leaving modest room for adjustment on the August 28 data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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