Ron Nirenberg secured the Democratic nomination for Bexar County Judge by defeating incumbent Peter Sakai in the March 2026 primary with roughly 62 percent of the vote. As the former San Antonio mayor with extensive local name recognition and a proven fundraising edge, Nirenberg enters the November general election against Republican Patrick Von Dohlen in a county where Democrats have won every countywide contest for more than a decade. Trader consensus around 93.5 percent for Nirenberg reflects this structural advantage and limited Republican field. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually high Republican turnout that overcomes the county's partisan baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 Bexar County Judge Election Winner
2026 Bexar County Judge Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Ron Nirenberg
94%
Patrick Von Dohlen
5%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Ron Nirenberg
$6,433 Vol.
94%
Patrick Von Dohlen
$2,885 Vol.
5%
The 2026 Bexar County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Bexar County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.Ron Nirenberg secured the Democratic nomination for Bexar County Judge by defeating incumbent Peter Sakai in the March 2026 primary with roughly 62 percent of the vote. As the former San Antonio mayor with extensive local name recognition and a proven fundraising edge, Nirenberg enters the November general election against Republican Patrick Von Dohlen in a county where Democrats have won every countywide contest for more than a decade. Trader consensus around 93.5 percent for Nirenberg reflects this structural advantage and limited Republican field. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually high Republican turnout that overcomes the county's partisan baseline.
The 2026 Bexar County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Bexar County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 1:06 PM ET
Volume
$9,318End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 1:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Bexar County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Bexar County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.Ron Nirenberg secured the Democratic nomination for Bexar County Judge by defeating incumbent Peter Sakai in the March 2026 primary with roughly 62 percent of the vote. As the former San Antonio mayor with extensive local name recognition and a proven fundraising edge, Nirenberg enters the November general election against Republican Patrick Von Dohlen in a county where Democrats have won every countywide contest for more than a decade. Trader consensus around 93.5 percent for Nirenberg reflects this structural advantage and limited Republican field. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually high Republican turnout that overcomes the county's partisan baseline.
The 2026 Bexar County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Bexar County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Bexar County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Bexar County.
Volume
$9,318End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 1:06 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ron Nirenberg secured the Democratic nomination for Bexar County Judge by defeating incumbent Peter Sakai in the March 2026 primary with roughly 62 percent of the vote. As the former San Antonio mayor with extensive local name recognition and a proven fundraising edge, Nirenberg enters the November general election against Republican Patrick Von Dohlen in a county where Democrats have won every countywide contest for more than a decade. Trader consensus around 93.5 percent for Nirenberg reflects this structural advantage and limited Republican field. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal, health issue, or unusually high Republican turnout that overcomes the county's partisan baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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