Incumbent Republican Tim O’Hare holds a 65% consensus price in the 2026 Tarrant County Judge race, ahead of Democratic challenger and current Precinct 2 Commissioner Alisa Simmons at 34%, reflecting his strong primary performance (88% of the vote), substantial fundraising edge (over $700,000 cash on hand versus roughly $67,000), and record of budget cuts and tax-rate reductions. Simmons secured her nomination with 61% but faces structural headwinds in a county that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Ongoing disputes over redistricting, polling-site reductions, and commissioners-court decorum rules have kept the contest visible, while pending appeals on related free-speech litigation add procedural uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders appear to price these factors as favoring the incumbent’s re-election prospects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner
2026 Tarrant County Judge Election Winner
$29,329 Vol.
$29,329 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Tim O'Hare
65%
Alisa Simmons
34%
$29,329 Vol.
$29,329 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Tim O'Hare
$26,372 Vol.
65%
Alisa Simmons
$2,957 Vol.
34%
The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.Incumbent Republican Tim O’Hare holds a 65% consensus price in the 2026 Tarrant County Judge race, ahead of Democratic challenger and current Precinct 2 Commissioner Alisa Simmons at 34%, reflecting his strong primary performance (88% of the vote), substantial fundraising edge (over $700,000 cash on hand versus roughly $67,000), and record of budget cuts and tax-rate reductions. Simmons secured her nomination with 61% but faces structural headwinds in a county that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Ongoing disputes over redistricting, polling-site reductions, and commissioners-court decorum rules have kept the contest visible, while pending appeals on related free-speech litigation add procedural uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders appear to price these factors as favoring the incumbent’s re-election prospects.
The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.
Market Opened: Jun 26, 2026, 12:13 PM ET
Volume
$29,329End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.Incumbent Republican Tim O’Hare holds a 65% consensus price in the 2026 Tarrant County Judge race, ahead of Democratic challenger and current Precinct 2 Commissioner Alisa Simmons at 34%, reflecting his strong primary performance (88% of the vote), substantial fundraising edge (over $700,000 cash on hand versus roughly $67,000), and record of budget cuts and tax-rate reductions. Simmons secured her nomination with 61% but faces structural headwinds in a county that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Ongoing disputes over redistricting, polling-site reductions, and commissioners-court decorum rules have kept the contest visible, while pending appeals on related free-speech litigation add procedural uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders appear to price these factors as favoring the incumbent’s re-election prospects.
The 2026 Tarrant County Judge election will be held on November 3, 2026, to elect the County Judge of Tarrant County, TX.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next County Judge of Tarrant County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder County Judges appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the State of Texas and Tarrant County.
Volume
$29,329End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jun 26, 2026, 12:13 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Republican Tim O’Hare holds a 65% consensus price in the 2026 Tarrant County Judge race, ahead of Democratic challenger and current Precinct 2 Commissioner Alisa Simmons at 34%, reflecting his strong primary performance (88% of the vote), substantial fundraising edge (over $700,000 cash on hand versus roughly $67,000), and record of budget cuts and tax-rate reductions. Simmons secured her nomination with 61% but faces structural headwinds in a county that has trended Republican in recent cycles. Ongoing disputes over redistricting, polling-site reductions, and commissioners-court decorum rules have kept the contest visible, while pending appeals on related free-speech litigation add procedural uncertainty ahead of the November 3 general election. Traders appear to price these factors as favoring the incumbent’s re-election prospects.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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