United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Altai Krai Legislative Assembly election market due to its position as the incumbent ruling party, extensive candidate registration across all 34 single-mandate districts, and alignment with federal structures ahead of the September 18–20 vote. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation with a 5% threshold and half first-past-the-post—favors established parties with strong local organization, as evidenced by United Russia's consistent performance in prior cycles. Other parties, including CPRF, LDPR, and New People, trail significantly in trader consensus. Rare shifts could occur from unusually low turnout, localized administrative issues, or late developments in the parallel federal campaign, though these remain low-probability factors given current positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUnited Russia 96.6%
LDPR 2.4%
New People 1.7%
A Just Russia <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
97%
LDPR
2%
New People
2%
A Just Russia
1%
CPRF
<1%
Party of Pensioners
<1%
Communists of Russia
<1%
United Russia 96.6%
LDPR 2.4%
New People 1.7%
A Just Russia <1%
NEW
NEW
Sep 20, 2026
United Russia
$2,044 Vol.
97%
LDPR
$673 Vol.
2%
New People
$1,292 Vol.
2%
A Just Russia
$504 Vol.
1%
CPRF
$728 Vol.
<1%
Party of Pensioners
$804 Vol.
<1%
Communists of Russia
$531 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Altai Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Altai Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Altai Krai Legislative Assembly election market due to its position as the incumbent ruling party, extensive candidate registration across all 34 single-mandate districts, and alignment with federal structures ahead of the September 18–20 vote. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation with a 5% threshold and half first-past-the-post—favors established parties with strong local organization, as evidenced by United Russia's consistent performance in prior cycles. Other parties, including CPRF, LDPR, and New People, trail significantly in trader consensus. Rare shifts could occur from unusually low turnout, localized administrative issues, or late developments in the parallel federal campaign, though these remain low-probability factors given current positioning.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Altai Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Altai Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Altai Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Altai Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Market Opened: Jul 28, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
Volume
$6,576End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Altai Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Altai Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Altai Krai Legislative Assembly election market due to its position as the incumbent ruling party, extensive candidate registration across all 34 single-mandate districts, and alignment with federal structures ahead of the September 18–20 vote. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation with a 5% threshold and half first-past-the-post—favors established parties with strong local organization, as evidenced by United Russia's consistent performance in prior cycles. Other parties, including CPRF, LDPR, and New People, trail significantly in trader consensus. Rare shifts could occur from unusually low turnout, localized administrative issues, or late developments in the parallel federal campaign, though these remain low-probability factors given current positioning.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai, Russia are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Altai Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Altai Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai as a result of this election.
The number of seats will include all members of the Legislative Assembly of Altai Krai serving as a result of this election, including members elected in a single- or multiple-member constituency or by proportional representation, where applicable.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose party list received a greater number of valid votes in the specified region’s proportional representation system. Aggregate votes received in constituencies will have no bearing on resolution in a tie. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
A constituency-elected member will count towards the party they registered to contest the election with. A member elected by proportional representation will count towards the party whose list they were elected from.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party. Independents will not count towards any party.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Altai Krai and Russia, including the Election Commission of Altai Krai and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$6,576End Date
Sep 20, 2026Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 11:50 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in the Altai Krai Legislative Assembly election market due to its position as the incumbent ruling party, extensive candidate registration across all 34 single-mandate districts, and alignment with federal structures ahead of the September 18–20 vote. The mixed electoral system—half proportional representation with a 5% threshold and half first-past-the-post—favors established parties with strong local organization, as evidenced by United Russia's consistent performance in prior cycles. Other parties, including CPRF, LDPR, and New People, trail significantly in trader consensus. Rare shifts could occur from unusually low turnout, localized administrative issues, or late developments in the parallel federal campaign, though these remain low-probability factors given current positioning.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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