The Mouvement des Cœurs Unis (MCU) secured a commanding lead in the 2025–2026 Central African Republic legislative elections, held alongside the presidential contest on 28 December 2025 with a second round on 26 April 2026, because its candidates captured the large majority of seats in the first round and benefited from the incumbent president’s decisive re-election. Official tallies showed MCU winning roughly 61–63 seats out of 144, far ahead of smaller parties and independents, while the National Union for Democracy and Progress (UNDP) took only one seat. The process unfolded with limited violence and broad international observation, reinforcing institutional continuity and the ruling party’s organizational advantage across most constituencies. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the decisive seat margin already declared by the National Electoral Authority and Constitutional Council. Remaining uncertainty centers on final certification of a handful of delayed or disputed districts and any successful legal challenges, though the scale of MCU’s reported plurality makes reversal improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCentral African Republic National Assembly Election Winner
$130,665 Vol.
$130,665 Vol.

MCU
93%

UNDP
3%
$130,665 Vol.
$130,665 Vol.

MCU
93%

UNDP
3%
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
Market Opened: Dec 3, 2025, 12:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party that controls the most seats in the Central African Republic National Assembly as a result of the next Central African parliamentary election.
If initial voting in the next Central African parliamentary election does not occur by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market may remain open to consider any second-round votes held to determine winners in individual single-member constituencies, as long as the remaining undecided seats can still change which party wins the most seats overall, or maximally until December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, after which the market will resolve based on the results available at that time.
In the case of a tie between this party and any other for the most seats held, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by this party, not any coalition of which it may be a part.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Government of the Central African Republic, specifically the National Elections Authority (https://www.ane-rca.org/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Mouvement des Cœurs Unis (MCU) secured a commanding lead in the 2025–2026 Central African Republic legislative elections, held alongside the presidential contest on 28 December 2025 with a second round on 26 April 2026, because its candidates captured the large majority of seats in the first round and benefited from the incumbent president’s decisive re-election. Official tallies showed MCU winning roughly 61–63 seats out of 144, far ahead of smaller parties and independents, while the National Union for Democracy and Progress (UNDP) took only one seat. The process unfolded with limited violence and broad international observation, reinforcing institutional continuity and the ruling party’s organizational advantage across most constituencies. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the decisive seat margin already declared by the National Electoral Authority and Constitutional Council. Remaining uncertainty centers on final certification of a handful of delayed or disputed districts and any successful legal challenges, though the scale of MCU’s reported plurality makes reversal improbable.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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