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Elections·Taiwan

Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner
Elections·Taiwan

Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner

Chen Su-yueh 80%

Wei Ping-cheng 19%

Chiu Chien-fu 2.5%

Lin Shih-hsien <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Chen Su-yueh 80%

Wei Ping-cheng 19%

Chiu Chien-fu 2.5%

Lin Shih-hsien <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Chen Su-yueh

Chen Su-yueh

$2,649 Vol.

80%

icon for Wei Ping-cheng

Wei Ping-cheng

$1,199 Vol.

19%

icon for Chiu Chien-fu

Chiu Chien-fu

$859 Vol.

3%

icon for Lin Shih-hsien

Lin Shih-hsien

$1,364 Vol.

<1%

icon for Huang Hsiu-fang

Huang Hsiu-fang

$716 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hung Jung-chang

Hung Jung-chang

$768 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Chen Su-yueh holds an 80% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Changhua County magistrate race, well ahead of KMT nominee Wei Ping-cheng at 19% and independent Chiu Chien-fu at 2.1%.** Recent developments center on KMT nomination turmoil that has hampered Wei’s bid. Party leaders directly selected the relatively inexperienced lawyer over stronger local contenders including Ko Cheng-fang, Hung Jung-chang, and Hsieh Yi-fong, prompting internal friction and the absence of term-limited incumbent Wang Hui-mei from Wei’s campaign events. In contrast, DPP legislator Chen Su-yueh has maintained a unified, well-organized effort with joint candidate registration scheduled for early September. Available polling from August shows Chen leading Wei by double digits, with Chiu drawing some support but remaining a distant third. The December 2026 election remains months away, and further consolidation of pan-blue factions or late developments could still influence final positioning.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$7,556
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Chen Su-yueh holds an 80% implied probability as the leading outcome in the Changhua County magistrate race, well ahead of KMT nominee Wei Ping-cheng at 19% and independent Chiu Chien-fu at 2.1%.** Recent developments center on KMT nomination turmoil that has hampered Wei’s bid. Party leaders directly selected the relatively inexperienced lawyer over stronger local contenders including Ko Cheng-fang, Hung Jung-chang, and Hsieh Yi-fong, prompting internal friction and the absence of term-limited incumbent Wang Hui-mei from Wei’s campaign events. In contrast, DPP legislator Chen Su-yueh has maintained a unified, well-organized effort with joint candidate registration scheduled for early September. Available polling from August shows Chen leading Wei by double digits, with Chiu drawing some support but remaining a distant third. The December 2026 election remains months away, and further consolidation of pan-blue factions or late developments could still influence final positioning.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$7,556
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:57 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Changhua County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chen Su-yueh" at 80%, followed by "Wei Ping-cheng" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 80¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Chen Su-yueh" at 80%, meaning the market assigns a 80% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wei Ping-cheng" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Changhua County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.