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Politics·Russia

Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner

icon for Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner
Politics·Russia

Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner

Ramzan Kadyrov 97.8%

Ismail Denilkhanov 1.0%

Apti Alaudinov <1%

Khalid Nakayev <1%

Polymarket

$10,894 Vol.

Ramzan Kadyrov 97.8%

Ismail Denilkhanov 1.0%

Apti Alaudinov <1%

Khalid Nakayev <1%

Polymarket

$10,894 Vol.

icon for Ramzan Kadyrov

Ramzan Kadyrov

$4,924 Vol.

98%

icon for Ismail Denilkhanov

Ismail Denilkhanov

$696 Vol.

1%

icon for Apti Alaudinov

Apti Alaudinov

$675 Vol.

1%

icon for Khalid Nakayev

Khalid Nakayev

$780 Vol.

1%

icon for Adam Delimkhanov

Adam Delimkhanov

$636 Vol.

<1%

icon for Magomed Daudov

Magomed Daudov

$929 Vol.

<1%

icon for Akhmat Kadyrov

Akhmat Kadyrov

$904 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Kadyrov

Adam Kadyrov

$1,351 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Ramzan Kadyrov holds a commanding lead in the September 18–20, 2026 Chechen head election as the United Russia nominee with explicit Kremlin backing from Vladimir Putin. His position stems from nearly two decades of consolidated authority in the republic, repeated victories exceeding 97 percent in prior direct elections, and the absence of competitive opposition under Russia's regional electoral framework. The two registered challengers, Khalid Nakayev and Ismail Denilkhanov, function primarily as formal alternatives without meaningful campaign traction or independent support bases. Traders price continuity at these levels because recent developments, including Kadyrov's registration and Putin's April endorsement, align with established patterns of regional leadership transitions. Potential shifts remain limited to late health-related developments or federal directives before voting concludes.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$10,894
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Ramzan Kadyrov holds a commanding lead in the September 18–20, 2026 Chechen head election as the United Russia nominee with explicit Kremlin backing from Vladimir Putin. His position stems from nearly two decades of consolidated authority in the republic, repeated victories exceeding 97 percent in prior direct elections, and the absence of competitive opposition under Russia's regional electoral framework. The two registered challengers, Khalid Nakayev and Ismail Denilkhanov, function primarily as formal alternatives without meaningful campaign traction or independent support bases. Traders price continuity at these levels because recent developments, including Kadyrov's registration and Putin's April endorsement, align with established patterns of regional leadership transitions. Potential shifts remain limited to late health-related developments or federal directives before voting concludes.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$10,894
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ramzan Kadyrov" at 98%, followed by "Ismail Denilkhanov" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 98¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner" has generated $10.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner" is "Ramzan Kadyrov" at 98%, meaning the market assigns a 98% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ismail Denilkhanov" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.