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icon for Florida Governor Election Winner
Elections·Midterms

Florida Governor Election Winner

icon for Florida Governor Election Winner
Elections·Midterms

Florida Governor Election Winner

Polymarket

$57,664 Vol.

Polymarket

$57,664 Vol.

icon for Byron Donalds (R)

Byron Donalds (R)

$26,760 Vol.

81%

icon for David Jolly (D)

David Jolly (D)

$30,904 Vol.

19%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican tilt since 1998, combined with Byron Donalds securing the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary on the strength of President Trump's endorsement and dominant fundraising, drives trader consensus around his 80.5% implied probability. Donalds consolidated support against rivals including Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, entering the November 3 general election against Democrat David Jolly—who won his primary with roughly 61%—with polling averages showing Donalds ahead by 3–7 points in a state that Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Recent shifts in forecaster ratings to "Likely Republican" reflect the open-seat dynamics and Jolly's challenges in expanding beyond the Democratic base, though narrow margins in some surveys underscore ongoing competitiveness.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$57,664
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Florida's Republican tilt since 1998, combined with Byron Donalds securing the GOP nomination in the August 18 primary on the strength of President Trump's endorsement and dominant fundraising, drives trader consensus around his 80.5% implied probability. Donalds consolidated support against rivals including Lt. Gov. Jay Collins, entering the November 3 general election against Democrat David Jolly—who won his primary with roughly 61%—with polling averages showing Donalds ahead by 3–7 points in a state that Trump carried by double digits in 2024. Recent shifts in forecaster ratings to "Likely Republican" reflect the open-seat dynamics and Jolly's challenges in expanding beyond the Democratic base, though narrow margins in some surveys underscore ongoing competitiveness.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$57,664
End Date
Nov 3, 2026
Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Florida gubernatorial election. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Florida Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Byron Donalds (R) " at 81%, followed by "David Jolly (D)" at 19%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 81¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Florida Governor Election Winner" has generated $57.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 13, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Florida Governor Election Winner," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Florida Governor Election Winner" is "Byron Donalds (R) " at 81%, meaning the market assigns a 81% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Jolly (D)" at 19%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Florida Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.