Morena holds dominant party identification and vote intention in Guerrero for the 2027 gubernatorial election, with recent surveys showing 50-63% support compared to single-digit figures for the PRI, PAN, and Movimiento Ciudadano. This structural advantage keeps overall probabilities concentrated among leading Morena aspirants. Beatriz Mojica Morga and Esthela Damián Peralta lead internal preference polls conducted between June and July 2026, though other names such as Félix Salgado Macedonio and Pablo Amílcar Sandoval remain in contention. The absence of a finalized candidate selection process, combined with the distant election date, sustains tight spreads among frontrunners while capping opposition challengers like Manuel Añorve Baños. Late shifts in Morena's internal coordination or coalition negotiations could alter positioning ahead of the general ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBeatriz Mojica Morga 34.0%
Esthela Damián Peralta 30.1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 6.3%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.5%
$23,669 Vol.
$23,669 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
34%
Esthela Damián Peralta
30%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
6%
Mario Moreno Arcos
4%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
4%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
4%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
2%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Alberto López Rosas
1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
Beatriz Mojica Morga 34.0%
Esthela Damián Peralta 30.1%
Guadalupe Eguiluz 6.3%
Mario Moreno Arcos 4.5%
$23,669 Vol.
$23,669 Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
34%
Esthela Damián Peralta
30%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
6%
Mario Moreno Arcos
4%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
4%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
4%
Manuel Añorve Baños
4%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
2%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
1%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
1%
Iván Hernández Díaz
1%
Erika Lorena Lührs
1%
Alberto López Rosas
1%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
1%
Julián López Galeana
1%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
<1%
Carlos Reyes Torres
<1%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
<1%
Rubén Cayetano García
<1%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
<1%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
<1%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
<1%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
<1%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
<1%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
<1%
Abelina López Rodríguez
<1%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena holds dominant party identification and vote intention in Guerrero for the 2027 gubernatorial election, with recent surveys showing 50-63% support compared to single-digit figures for the PRI, PAN, and Movimiento Ciudadano. This structural advantage keeps overall probabilities concentrated among leading Morena aspirants. Beatriz Mojica Morga and Esthela Damián Peralta lead internal preference polls conducted between June and July 2026, though other names such as Félix Salgado Macedonio and Pablo Amílcar Sandoval remain in contention. The absence of a finalized candidate selection process, combined with the distant election date, sustains tight spreads among frontrunners while capping opposition challengers like Manuel Añorve Baños. Late shifts in Morena's internal coordination or coalition negotiations could alter positioning ahead of the general ballot.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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