Official temperature readings from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, the primary station used for such markets, recorded a daily maximum of 100°F on August 28, 2026, consistent with National Weather Service observations of 99–100°F amid lingering heat. This aligned with a multi-week heat wave featuring multiple days above 104°F earlier in August, driven by a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that allowed strong solar heating under typical late-summer insolation. Trader consensus at 100.0% for the 100–101°F bin reflects these verified measurements and the low likelihood of revision. A realistic challenge would require an official data correction from the National Centers for Environmental Information or a station discrepancy exceeding the 1°F resolution threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Austin on August 28?
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$36,940 Vol.
$36,940 Vol.
91°F or below
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110°F or higher
No
100-101°F 100.0%
91°F or below <1%
92-93°F <1%
94-95°F <1%
$36,940 Vol.
$36,940 Vol.
91°F or below
No
92-93°F
No
94-95°F
No
96-97°F
No
98-99°F
No
100-101°F
Yes
102-103°F
No
104-105°F
No
106-107°F
No
108-109°F
No
110°F or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 8:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kausResolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
Official temperature readings from Austin-Bergstrom International Airport, the primary station used for such markets, recorded a daily maximum of 100°F on August 28, 2026, consistent with National Weather Service observations of 99–100°F amid lingering heat. This aligned with a multi-week heat wave featuring multiple days above 104°F earlier in August, driven by a strong subtropical ridge and minimal cloud cover or precipitation that allowed strong solar heating under typical late-summer insolation. Trader consensus at 100.0% for the 100–101°F bin reflects these verified measurements and the low likelihood of revision. A realistic challenge would require an official data correction from the National Centers for Environmental Information or a station discrepancy exceeding the 1°F resolution threshold.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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