Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 31 point to a maximum of 30°C amid a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, with intervals of showers, squally thunderstorms, and high rainfall probability. This pattern, combined with shifting winds (initially south to southeast, later northeast), limits daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation, aligning closely with the near-even market odds on 29°C and 30°C. Forecasters note typical late-August variability from convective cells, where localized timing and intensity of storms could nudge the daily high slightly lower or allow brief clearer spells to reach 31°C. Historical analogs under similar trough influences show maxima clustering near 29–30°C, with model consensus tightening as the date approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 31?
30°C 33%
29°C 32%
31°C 18%
28°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
14%
29°C
32%
30°C
33%
31°C
18%
32°C
4%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 33%
29°C 32%
31°C 18%
28°C 14%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
24°C or below
$51 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$47 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$213 Vol.
1%
27°C
$45 Vol.
4%
28°C
$281 Vol.
14%
29°C
$1,051 Vol.
32%
30°C
$114 Vol.
33%
31°C
$283 Vol.
18%
32°C
$57 Vol.
4%
33°C
$32 Vol.
3%
34°C or higher
$134 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 31 point to a maximum of 30°C amid a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, with intervals of showers, squally thunderstorms, and high rainfall probability. This pattern, combined with shifting winds (initially south to southeast, later northeast), limits daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation, aligning closely with the near-even market odds on 29°C and 30°C. Forecasters note typical late-August variability from convective cells, where localized timing and intensity of storms could nudge the daily high slightly lower or allow brief clearer spells to reach 31°C. Historical analogs under similar trough influences show maxima clustering near 29–30°C, with model consensus tightening as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Market Opened: Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,221End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 31 point to a maximum of 30°C amid a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, with intervals of showers, squally thunderstorms, and high rainfall probability. This pattern, combined with shifting winds (initially south to southeast, later northeast), limits daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation, aligning closely with the near-even market odds on 29°C and 30°C. Forecasters note typical late-August variability from convective cells, where localized timing and intensity of storms could nudge the daily high slightly lower or allow brief clearer spells to reach 31°C. Historical analogs under similar trough influences show maxima clustering near 29–30°C, with model consensus tightening as the date approaches.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$2,221End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 29, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory forecasts for August 31 point to a maximum of 30°C amid a broad low-pressure trough driving unsettled conditions, with intervals of showers, squally thunderstorms, and high rainfall probability. This pattern, combined with shifting winds (initially south to southeast, later northeast), limits daytime heating through persistent cloud cover and evaporative cooling from precipitation, aligning closely with the near-even market odds on 29°C and 30°C. Forecasters note typical late-August variability from convective cells, where localized timing and intensity of storms could nudge the daily high slightly lower or allow brief clearer spells to reach 31°C. Historical analogs under similar trough influences show maxima clustering near 29–30°C, with model consensus tightening as the date approaches.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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