Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models, including those from WeatherBug, Yr.no, and the Met Office, consistently project a daily high of 28–32°C for Jinan on August 27 amid scattered thunderstorms and a shift to northerly flow. This aligns with the 90.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting the lingering influence of a warm subtropical air mass typical for late August in Shandong despite cloud cover and precipitation. Historical August averages near 30°C and the absence of any strong cooling signals in model runs reinforce trader confidence. A realistic shift below 26°C would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or unusually intense, prolonged rainfall suppressing daytime heating, neither of which appears in current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Jinan on August 27?
26°C or higher 90.9%
25°C 9.3%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
91%
26°C or higher 90.9%
25°C 9.3%
16°C or below <1%
17°C <1%
16°C or below
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
9%
26°C or higher
91%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and international models, including those from WeatherBug, Yr.no, and the Met Office, consistently project a daily high of 28–32°C for Jinan on August 27 amid scattered thunderstorms and a shift to northerly flow. This aligns with the 90.5% market-implied probability for 26°C or higher, reflecting the lingering influence of a warm subtropical air mass typical for late August in Shandong despite cloud cover and precipitation. Historical August averages near 30°C and the absence of any strong cooling signals in model runs reinforce trader confidence. A realistic shift below 26°C would require an unforecasted surge of cooler air or unusually intense, prolonged rainfall suppressing daytime heating, neither of which appears in current guidance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions