**Recent meteorological forecasts and late-monsoon conditions position the highest temperature in Karachi on August 28 most likely between 31–33 °C, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 32 °C.** Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and numerical models consistently project daytime maxima near 31–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, driven by southwesterly flow off the Arabian Sea, elevated humidity levels above 65 %, and moderate winds that enhance mixing and limit surface heating. A new monsoon spell beginning around August 27 is expected to increase cloud cover and the chance of light drizzle, which further caps radiative warming and aligns with observed recent daily highs of 30–33 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the coastal station shows a narrow range centered near 31 °C, reinforcing trader consensus that extremes below 30 °C or above 34 °C remain low-probability outcomes absent a sharp shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and PMD briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the final data points for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Karachi on August 28?
Highest temperature in Karachi on August 28?
32°C 52%
31°C 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
4%
30°C
5%
31°C
27%
32°C
52%
33°C
15%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
1%
32°C 52%
31°C 27%
33°C 15%
30°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 28, 2026
26°C or below
$157 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$137 Vol.
1%
29°C
$61 Vol.
4%
30°C
$278 Vol.
5%
31°C
$249 Vol.
27%
32°C
$428 Vol.
52%
33°C
$182 Vol.
15%
34°C
$86 Vol.
4%
35°C
$52 Vol.
1%
36°C or higher
$57 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent meteorological forecasts and late-monsoon conditions position the highest temperature in Karachi on August 28 most likely between 31–33 °C, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 32 °C.** Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and numerical models consistently project daytime maxima near 31–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, driven by southwesterly flow off the Arabian Sea, elevated humidity levels above 65 %, and moderate winds that enhance mixing and limit surface heating.
A new monsoon spell beginning around August 27 is expected to increase cloud cover and the chance of light drizzle, which further caps radiative warming and aligns with observed recent daily highs of 30–33 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the coastal station shows a narrow range centered near 31 °C, reinforcing trader consensus that extremes below 30 °C or above 34 °C remain low-probability outcomes absent a sharp shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and PMD briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the final data points for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$1,742End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent meteorological forecasts and late-monsoon conditions position the highest temperature in Karachi on August 28 most likely between 31–33 °C, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 32 °C.** Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and numerical models consistently project daytime maxima near 31–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, driven by southwesterly flow off the Arabian Sea, elevated humidity levels above 65 %, and moderate winds that enhance mixing and limit surface heating.
A new monsoon spell beginning around August 27 is expected to increase cloud cover and the chance of light drizzle, which further caps radiative warming and aligns with observed recent daily highs of 30–33 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the coastal station shows a narrow range centered near 31 °C, reinforcing trader consensus that extremes below 30 °C or above 34 °C remain low-probability outcomes absent a sharp shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and PMD briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the final data points for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 28 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,742End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 26, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Recent meteorological forecasts and late-monsoon conditions position the highest temperature in Karachi on August 28 most likely between 31–33 °C, with market-implied odds heavily favoring 32 °C.** Official guidance from the Pakistan Meteorological Department and numerical models consistently project daytime maxima near 31–32 °C under partly to mostly cloudy skies, driven by southwesterly flow off the Arabian Sea, elevated humidity levels above 65 %, and moderate winds that enhance mixing and limit surface heating. A new monsoon spell beginning around August 27 is expected to increase cloud cover and the chance of light drizzle, which further caps radiative warming and aligns with observed recent daily highs of 30–33 °C. Historical late-August climatology for the coastal station shows a narrow range centered near 31 °C, reinforcing trader consensus that extremes below 30 °C or above 34 °C remain low-probability outcomes absent a sharp shift in steering patterns or moisture. Updated model runs and PMD briefings over the next 24 hours will provide the final data points for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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