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Politics·Taiwan

Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner

Yu Shu-chen 79%

Wei Chia-hsien 15%

Chang Chun 5.6%

Lo Pei-chin <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Yu Shu-chen 79%

Wei Chia-hsien 15%

Chang Chun 5.6%

Lo Pei-chin <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Yu Shu-chen

Yu Shu-chen

$2,676 Vol.

79%

icon for Wei Chia-hsien

Wei Chia-hsien

$1,341 Vol.

15%

icon for Chang Chun

Chang Chun

$790 Vol.

6%

icon for Lo Pei-chin

Lo Pei-chin

$440 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yeh Yao-hui

Yeh Yao-hui

$885 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Yu Shu-chen leads the Hualien County Magistrate race as the Kuomintang nominee, backed by the influential Fu Kun-chi faction and consistent polling leads near 29-30%. The race features a three-way pan-blue contest with independents Chang Chun and Wei Chia-hsien splitting similar voter bases, the latter two polling at 19% and 18% respectively in late August surveys. DPP-leaning voters appear to be consolidating behind Chang, boosting his recent surge, while no official DPP candidate has emerged. With voting set for November 28 and roughly 30% of respondents undecided, trader consensus reflects Yu's structural advantages from party machinery and county history, tempered by vote fragmentation and potential late shifts in non-KMT support.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$6,133
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Yu Shu-chen leads the Hualien County Magistrate race as the Kuomintang nominee, backed by the influential Fu Kun-chi faction and consistent polling leads near 29-30%. The race features a three-way pan-blue contest with independents Chang Chun and Wei Chia-hsien splitting similar voter bases, the latter two polling at 19% and 18% respectively in late August surveys. DPP-leaning voters appear to be consolidating behind Chang, boosting his recent surge, while no official DPP candidate has emerged. With voting set for November 28 and roughly 30% of respondents undecided, trader consensus reflects Yu's structural advantages from party machinery and county history, tempered by vote fragmentation and potential late shifts in non-KMT support.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$6,133
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Hualien County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Yu Shu-chen" at 79%, followed by "Wei Chia-hsien" at 15%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Yu Shu-chen" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wei Chia-hsien" at 15%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Hualien County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.