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icon for La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
World·Canada

La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise 67%

Frédéric Côté 18%

Sonia Ziadé 5.0%

Francine van Winden <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise 67%

Frédéric Côté 18%

Sonia Ziadé 5.0%

Francine van Winden <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise

Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise

$1,465 Vol.

67%

icon for Frédéric Côté

Frédéric Côté

$1,477 Vol.

18%

icon for Sonia Ziadé

Sonia Ziadé

$463 Vol.

5%

icon for Francine van Winden

Francine van Winden

$1,108 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise, the Coalition Avenir Québec candidate, holds the leading position in the La Prairie riding ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election, reflecting the district’s historical CAQ strength and local projections. The former MNA, Christian Dubé, left the CAQ caucus in late 2025 and is not seeking re-election, yet 338Canada’s September 16 model assigns the CAQ an 81% probability of retaining the seat based on redistributed 2022 results showing over 52% support and current regional polling trends. Parti Québécois nominee Frédéric Côté trails as the main challenger amid the party’s stronger provincial standing, while Liberal Sonia Ziadé and Québec solidaire’s Francine van Winden register lower shares consistent with broader vote projections. Nomination filings closed September 17 with no major late developments altering the competitive landscape.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$4,513
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise, the Coalition Avenir Québec candidate, holds the leading position in the La Prairie riding ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election, reflecting the district’s historical CAQ strength and local projections. The former MNA, Christian Dubé, left the CAQ caucus in late 2025 and is not seeking re-election, yet 338Canada’s September 16 model assigns the CAQ an 81% probability of retaining the seat based on redistributed 2022 results showing over 52% support and current regional polling trends. Parti Québécois nominee Frédéric Côté trails as the main challenger amid the party’s stronger provincial standing, while Liberal Sonia Ziadé and Québec solidaire’s Francine van Winden register lower shares consistent with broader vote projections. Nomination filings closed September 17 with no major late developments altering the competitive landscape.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next La Prairie Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volume
$4,513
End Date
Oct 5, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise" at 67%, followed by "Frédéric Côté" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 67¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 31, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" is "Pierre Guillot-Hurtubise" at 67%, meaning the market assigns a 67% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Frédéric Côté" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "La Prairie Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.