Incumbent Josh Morgan holds a dominant position in the London, Ontario mayoral race, with traders assigning him an 82.5% implied probability ahead of the October 26, 2026 election. As the first mayor in two decades to seek re-election, Morgan benefits from established name recognition, a record of advancing housing and infrastructure initiatives, and limited organized opposition since nominations closed on August 21. Ward 4 Councillor Susan Stevenson, at 17%, represents the most credible internal challenger, while former Stephen Harper staffer Kirsten Krose and a field of 12 total candidates—including lower-profile entrants like Mustafa Zeboon—have yet to generate substantial polling or fundraising momentum. With advance voting beginning in early October and no major late-breaking developments reported in recent weeks, the market reflects consensus around Morgan’s structural advantages in a low-turnout municipal contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJosh Morgan 83%
Susan Stevenson 17%
John Feher <1%
Kirsten Krose <1%

Josh Morgan
83%

Susan Stevenson
17%

John Feher
<1%

Kirsten Krose
<1%
Josh Morgan 83%
Susan Stevenson 17%
John Feher <1%
Kirsten Krose <1%

Josh Morgan
83%

Susan Stevenson
17%

John Feher
<1%

Kirsten Krose
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of London, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from London, Ontario.
Market Opened: Aug 24, 2026, 2:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of London, Ontario as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from London, Ontario.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Josh Morgan holds a dominant position in the London, Ontario mayoral race, with traders assigning him an 82.5% implied probability ahead of the October 26, 2026 election. As the first mayor in two decades to seek re-election, Morgan benefits from established name recognition, a record of advancing housing and infrastructure initiatives, and limited organized opposition since nominations closed on August 21. Ward 4 Councillor Susan Stevenson, at 17%, represents the most credible internal challenger, while former Stephen Harper staffer Kirsten Krose and a field of 12 total candidates—including lower-profile entrants like Mustafa Zeboon—have yet to generate substantial polling or fundraising momentum. With advance voting beginning in early October and no major late-breaking developments reported in recent weeks, the market reflects consensus around Morgan’s structural advantages in a low-turnout municipal contest.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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