Forecast models and official guidance from Turkey's Meteorological Service indicate Ankara's overnight low on August 27 will likely settle near 18°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring modest radiative cooling after a daytime high around 31–34°C. Ensemble and deterministic runs show a tight cluster between 17°C and 19°C, with minor divergences arising from boundary-layer parameterization, urban heat-island effects versus airport observations, and exact timing of any residual cloud. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with traders balancing historical August minima near 17–18°C against the current stable high-pressure pattern that limits further cooling. Updated model runs and local station reports through dawn will determine resolution between the leading 17°C-or-below and 18°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
17°C or below 54%
19°C 51%
18°C 47%
20°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
17°C or below
54%
18°C
47%
19°C
27%
20°C
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
17°C or below 54%
19°C 51%
18°C 47%
20°C <1%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
17°C or below
$0 Vol.
54%
18°C
$0 Vol.
47%
19°C
$10 Vol.
27%
20°C
$145 Vol.
1%
21°C
$69 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$44 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$113 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$63 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,137 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$108 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and official guidance from Turkey's Meteorological Service indicate Ankara's overnight low on August 27 will likely settle near 18°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring modest radiative cooling after a daytime high around 31–34°C. Ensemble and deterministic runs show a tight cluster between 17°C and 19°C, with minor divergences arising from boundary-layer parameterization, urban heat-island effects versus airport observations, and exact timing of any residual cloud. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with traders balancing historical August minima near 17–18°C against the current stable high-pressure pattern that limits further cooling. Updated model runs and local station reports through dawn will determine resolution between the leading 17°C-or-below and 18°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$1,743End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models and official guidance from Turkey's Meteorological Service indicate Ankara's overnight low on August 27 will likely settle near 18°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring modest radiative cooling after a daytime high around 31–34°C. Ensemble and deterministic runs show a tight cluster between 17°C and 19°C, with minor divergences arising from boundary-layer parameterization, urban heat-island effects versus airport observations, and exact timing of any residual cloud. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with traders balancing historical August minima near 17–18°C against the current stable high-pressure pattern that limits further cooling. Updated model runs and local station reports through dawn will determine resolution between the leading 17°C-or-below and 18°C outcomes.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,743End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models and official guidance from Turkey's Meteorological Service indicate Ankara's overnight low on August 27 will likely settle near 18°C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, favoring modest radiative cooling after a daytime high around 31–34°C. Ensemble and deterministic runs show a tight cluster between 17°C and 19°C, with minor divergences arising from boundary-layer parameterization, urban heat-island effects versus airport observations, and exact timing of any residual cloud. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow scientific uncertainty, with traders balancing historical August minima near 17–18°C against the current stable high-pressure pattern that limits further cooling. Updated model runs and local station reports through dawn will determine resolution between the leading 17°C-or-below and 18°C outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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