Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model outputs and agency briefings, converge on a daily maximum of 31–33°C for Ankara on August 27 under mostly sunny skies, light northwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limits both extreme heating and cooling. This range aligns with late-August climatology for the region’s continental climate, where average highs hover near 30–32°C absent strong advection or moisture influences. Recent model runs show low precipitation chances and stable pressure patterns, reducing the likelihood of deviations below 31°C or above 33°C and explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C. Updated guidance closer to peak heating hours will further refine resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 27?
32°C 64%
33°C 21%
31°C 17%
34°C 2%
$17,000 Vol.
$17,000 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
17%
32°C
64%
33°C
21%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 64%
33°C 21%
31°C 17%
34°C 2%
$17,000 Vol.
$17,000 Vol.
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
17%
32°C
64%
33°C
21%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including hourly model outputs and agency briefings, converge on a daily maximum of 31–33°C for Ankara on August 27 under mostly sunny skies, light northwesterly winds, and minimal cloud cover that limits both extreme heating and cooling. This range aligns with late-August climatology for the region’s continental climate, where average highs hover near 30–32°C absent strong advection or moisture influences. Recent model runs show low precipitation chances and stable pressure patterns, reducing the likelihood of deviations below 31°C or above 33°C and explaining the market’s heavy weighting toward 32°C. Updated guidance closer to peak heating hours will further refine resolution thresholds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions