Recent forecasts for Jeddah on August 27, 2026, converge on a daily minimum near 30–32°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around these values and well above the 1% tail risks. Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal setting produces a narrow diurnal range through persistent marine air advection and high humidity (often 50–70%), which limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared with inland desert sites. Stable subtropical high pressure and light southwesterly winds have maintained these conditions over the past week, with no incoming troughs or dust events to alter the thermal profile. Official model consensus places the overnight low near 31°C, but small differences in timing of the minimum, local urban heat-island effects, or slight variations in dew-point forecasts can shift the exact reading between 30°C and 32°C, explaining why these outcomes trade at nearly identical probabilities. Updated model runs tonight will provide the final data window before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Jeddah on August 27?
25°C 93%
26°C 93%
29°C 93%
27°C 92%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
3%
25°C
93%
26°C
93%
27°C
92%
28°C
92%
29°C
93%
30°C
48%
31°C
48%
32°C
49%
33°C
47%
34°C or higher
2%
25°C 93%
26°C 93%
29°C 93%
27°C 92%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
$5 Vol.
3%
25°C
$5 Vol.
93%
26°C
$5 Vol.
93%
27°C
$157 Vol.
92%
28°C
$27 Vol.
92%
29°C
$85 Vol.
93%
30°C
$0 Vol.
48%
31°C
$0 Vol.
48%
32°C
$48 Vol.
49%
33°C
$18 Vol.
47%
34°C or higher
$20 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Jeddah on August 27, 2026, converge on a daily minimum near 30–32°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around these values and well above the 1% tail risks. Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal setting produces a narrow diurnal range through persistent marine air advection and high humidity (often 50–70%), which limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared with inland desert sites. Stable subtropical high pressure and light southwesterly winds have maintained these conditions over the past week, with no incoming troughs or dust events to alter the thermal profile. Official model consensus places the overnight low near 31°C, but small differences in timing of the minimum, local urban heat-island effects, or slight variations in dew-point forecasts can shift the exact reading between 30°C and 32°C, explaining why these outcomes trade at nearly identical probabilities. Updated model runs tonight will provide the final data window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Volume
$369End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Jeddah on August 27, 2026, converge on a daily minimum near 30–32°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around these values and well above the 1% tail risks. Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal setting produces a narrow diurnal range through persistent marine air advection and high humidity (often 50–70%), which limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared with inland desert sites. Stable subtropical high pressure and light southwesterly winds have maintained these conditions over the past week, with no incoming troughs or dust events to alter the thermal profile. Official model consensus places the overnight low near 31°C, but small differences in timing of the minimum, local urban heat-island effects, or slight variations in dew-point forecasts can shift the exact reading between 30°C and 32°C, explaining why these outcomes trade at nearly identical probabilities. Updated model runs tonight will provide the final data window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$369End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts for Jeddah on August 27, 2026, converge on a daily minimum near 30–32°C, consistent with the tightly clustered market-implied odds around these values and well above the 1% tail risks. Jeddah’s Red Sea coastal setting produces a narrow diurnal range through persistent marine air advection and high humidity (often 50–70%), which limits nocturnal radiative cooling compared with inland desert sites. Stable subtropical high pressure and light southwesterly winds have maintained these conditions over the past week, with no incoming troughs or dust events to alter the thermal profile. Official model consensus places the overnight low near 31°C, but small differences in timing of the minimum, local urban heat-island effects, or slight variations in dew-point forecasts can shift the exact reading between 30°C and 32°C, explaining why these outcomes trade at nearly identical probabilities. Updated model runs tonight will provide the final data window before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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