Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 30–32°C for Jeddah on August 28, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures in the Red Sea, persistently high humidity (often 60–85%), and limited radiative cooling under light winds and partial cloud cover. This matches the market’s tight clustering around 30°C (46%), 32°C (42%), and 31°C (41.5%), reflecting trader assessment of small diurnal ranges typical for coastal Saudi Arabia in late summer. Recent August observations show minimums mostly 29–32°C amid a +2.2°C monthly anomaly, with stable high-pressure patterns suppressing stronger cooling. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on subtle forecast variables such as exact cloud timing, dew-point depression, and localized wind shifts that can alter the final hourly minimum by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Jeddah on August 28?
30°C 46%
31°C 45%
33°C 44%
32°C 42%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
9%
28°C
29%
29°C
14%
30°C
46%
31°C
45%
32°C
42%
33°C
44%
34°C
37%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 46%
31°C 45%
33°C 44%
32°C 42%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
9%
27°C
9%
28°C
29%
29°C
14%
30°C
46%
31°C
45%
32°C
42%
33°C
44%
34°C
37%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=oejnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate an overnight low near 30–32°C for Jeddah on August 28, driven by elevated sea-surface temperatures in the Red Sea, persistently high humidity (often 60–85%), and limited radiative cooling under light winds and partial cloud cover. This matches the market’s tight clustering around 30°C (46%), 32°C (42%), and 31°C (41.5%), reflecting trader assessment of small diurnal ranges typical for coastal Saudi Arabia in late summer. Recent August observations show minimums mostly 29–32°C amid a +2.2°C monthly anomaly, with stable high-pressure patterns suppressing stronger cooling. Differentiation among the leading outcomes hinges on subtle forecast variables such as exact cloud timing, dew-point depression, and localized wind shifts that can alter the final hourly minimum by 1–2°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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