Recent monsoon activity, including a trough over southern Uttar Pradesh and widespread cloud cover with light showers, has kept overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C on August 27. High humidity (often 80–95 %) and light northeasterly winds reduce the diurnal range while preventing sharp drops below forecast values, consistent with IMD guidance of 27 °C. Trader odds cluster tightly around 25–27 °C because model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and localized rainfall timing, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C through evaporative effects or enhanced mixing. Historical August minima average near 26 °C, providing a baseline traders weigh against current active-monsoon conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Lucknow on August 27?
Lowest temperature in Lucknow on August 27?
22°C 83%
25°C 42%
23°C 42%
24°C 41%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
83%
23°C
42%
24°C
41%
25°C
42%
26°C
54%
27°C
42%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
22°C 83%
25°C 42%
23°C 42%
24°C 41%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
21°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$5 Vol.
83%
23°C
$162 Vol.
42%
24°C
$43 Vol.
41%
25°C
$0 Vol.
42%
26°C
$60 Vol.
54%
27°C
$15 Vol.
42%
28°C
$4,346 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$295 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$173 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$125 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity, including a trough over southern Uttar Pradesh and widespread cloud cover with light showers, has kept overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C on August 27. High humidity (often 80–95 %) and light northeasterly winds reduce the diurnal range while preventing sharp drops below forecast values, consistent with IMD guidance of 27 °C. Trader odds cluster tightly around 25–27 °C because model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and localized rainfall timing, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C through evaporative effects or enhanced mixing. Historical August minima average near 26 °C, providing a baseline traders weigh against current active-monsoon conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$5,229End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent monsoon activity, including a trough over southern Uttar Pradesh and widespread cloud cover with light showers, has kept overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C on August 27. High humidity (often 80–95 %) and light northeasterly winds reduce the diurnal range while preventing sharp drops below forecast values, consistent with IMD guidance of 27 °C. Trader odds cluster tightly around 25–27 °C because model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and localized rainfall timing, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C through evaporative effects or enhanced mixing. Historical August minima average near 26 °C, providing a baseline traders weigh against current active-monsoon conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,229End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:29 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent monsoon activity, including a trough over southern Uttar Pradesh and widespread cloud cover with light showers, has kept overnight radiative cooling limited in Lucknow, supporting minimum temperatures near 26–27 °C on August 27. High humidity (often 80–95 %) and light northeasterly winds reduce the diurnal range while preventing sharp drops below forecast values, consistent with IMD guidance of 27 °C. Trader odds cluster tightly around 25–27 °C because model consensus shows modest uncertainty in exact cloud thickness and localized rainfall timing, which can shift the low by 1–2 °C through evaporative effects or enhanced mixing. Historical August minima average near 26 °C, providing a baseline traders weigh against current active-monsoon conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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