Persistent monsoon trough activity and widespread thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh are the dominant factors capping daytime heating in Lucknow on August 27, 2026. Official IMD forecasts and recent model consensus project a maximum near 32–33°C amid overcast skies, high humidity above 80%, and frequent rain spells that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Observed maxima on preceding days fell 2–3°C below normal due to similar convective outbreaks, supporting the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 31°C (36%) and 32°C (23.5%). Traders are weighting these outcomes against the narrow possibility of brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 33°C. Updated IMD bulletins and hourly radar trends through the afternoon will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 27?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 27?
31°C 36%
30°C 23%
32°C 23%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
11%
30°C
23%
31°C
36%
32°C
23%
33°C
7%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 36%
30°C 23%
32°C 23%
29°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 27, 2026
25°C or below
$353 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$1,729 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$335 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$1,338 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$849 Vol.
11%
30°C
$1,105 Vol.
23%
31°C
$514 Vol.
36%
32°C
$1,678 Vol.
23%
33°C
$399 Vol.
7%
34°C
$437 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$146 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon trough activity and widespread thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh are the dominant factors capping daytime heating in Lucknow on August 27, 2026. Official IMD forecasts and recent model consensus project a maximum near 32–33°C amid overcast skies, high humidity above 80%, and frequent rain spells that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Observed maxima on preceding days fell 2–3°C below normal due to similar convective outbreaks, supporting the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 31°C (36%) and 32°C (23.5%). Traders are weighting these outcomes against the narrow possibility of brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 33°C. Updated IMD bulletins and hourly radar trends through the afternoon will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,883End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent monsoon trough activity and widespread thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh are the dominant factors capping daytime heating in Lucknow on August 27, 2026. Official IMD forecasts and recent model consensus project a maximum near 32–33°C amid overcast skies, high humidity above 80%, and frequent rain spells that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Observed maxima on preceding days fell 2–3°C below normal due to similar convective outbreaks, supporting the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 31°C (36%) and 32°C (23.5%). Traders are weighting these outcomes against the narrow possibility of brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 33°C. Updated IMD bulletins and hourly radar trends through the afternoon will provide the final resolution data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,883End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent monsoon trough activity and widespread thundershowers across Uttar Pradesh are the dominant factors capping daytime heating in Lucknow on August 27, 2026. Official IMD forecasts and recent model consensus project a maximum near 32–33°C amid overcast skies, high humidity above 80%, and frequent rain spells that reduce solar insolation and enhance evaporative cooling. Observed maxima on preceding days fell 2–3°C below normal due to similar convective outbreaks, supporting the market’s heaviest implied probabilities on 31°C (36%) and 32°C (23.5%). Traders are weighting these outcomes against the narrow possibility of brief clearing that could allow a brief spike toward 33°C. Updated IMD bulletins and hourly radar trends through the afternoon will provide the final resolution data.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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