Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 28 will likely settle near 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and moderate humidity near 70%, limiting radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18–21°C because small variations in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the minimum by 1–3°C, while recent above-normal daytime highs have left residual warmth in the urban heat island. These closely matched probabilities reflect the inherent spread in ensemble guidance rather than any single dominant driver, with resolution depending on official station readings during the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Milan on August 28?
20°C 36%
19°C 36%
21°C 35%
18°C 33%
16°C or below
5%
17°C
14%
18°C
33%
19°C
36%
20°C
36%
21°C
35%
22°C
33%
23°C
31%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
20°C 36%
19°C 36%
21°C 35%
18°C 33%
16°C or below
5%
17°C
14%
18°C
33%
19°C
36%
20°C
36%
21°C
35%
22°C
33%
23°C
31%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 26, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models indicate overnight lows in Milan on August 28 will likely settle near 21–23°C under partly cloudy skies with light easterly winds and moderate humidity near 70%, limiting radiative cooling compared to clearer conditions. Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 18–21°C because small variations in cloud cover, thunderstorm timing, or boundary-layer mixing could shift the minimum by 1–3°C, while recent above-normal daytime highs have left residual warmth in the urban heat island. These closely matched probabilities reflect the inherent spread in ensemble guidance rather than any single dominant driver, with resolution depending on official station readings during the overnight period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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