**Forecast models and observational data position 30–31°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Milan on August 27, 2026.** Multiple authoritative sources, including ilMeteo.it and WeatherBug, indicate a daytime high near 31°C (88–90°F) under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 21–22°C to afternoon peaks of 29–30°C, consistent with typical late-summer Po Valley conditions featuring high pressure, modest humidity, and strong insolation. **Recent model consensus and on-the-day trends reinforce this range.** Updated forecasts from August 26–27 show stable atmospheric patterns without incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would suppress heating. Minor variations in guidance (e.g., 30°C vs. 32°C peaks) explain why the market assigns the bulk of probability to 30°C (51.5%) and 31°C (36%), while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Official resolution will depend on the precise maximum recorded at the reference station, with traders weighting the latest observational data and short-range model runs most heavily.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Milan on August 27?
Highest temperature in Milan on August 27?
30°C 52%
31°C 37%
29°C 7%
32°C 4%
NEW
$21,729 Vol.
NEW
$21,729 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
7%
30°C
52%
31°C
37%
32°C
4%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
30°C 52%
31°C 37%
29°C 7%
32°C 4%
NEW
$21,729 Vol.
NEW
$21,729 Vol.
Aug 27, 2026
24°C or below
$843 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$864 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$1,038 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$951 Vol.
1%
29°C
$1,306 Vol.
7%
30°C
$10,842 Vol.
52%
31°C
$3,211 Vol.
37%
32°C
$1,004 Vol.
4%
33°C
$644 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$665 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data position 30–31°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Milan on August 27, 2026.** Multiple authoritative sources, including ilMeteo.it and WeatherBug, indicate a daytime high near 31°C (88–90°F) under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 21–22°C to afternoon peaks of 29–30°C, consistent with typical late-summer Po Valley conditions featuring high pressure, modest humidity, and strong insolation.
**Recent model consensus and on-the-day trends reinforce this range.** Updated forecasts from August 26–27 show stable atmospheric patterns without incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would suppress heating. Minor variations in guidance (e.g., 30°C vs. 32°C peaks) explain why the market assigns the bulk of probability to 30°C (51.5%) and 31°C (36%), while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Official resolution will depend on the precise maximum recorded at the reference station, with traders weighting the latest observational data and short-range model runs most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$21,729End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and observational data position 30–31°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Milan on August 27, 2026.** Multiple authoritative sources, including ilMeteo.it and WeatherBug, indicate a daytime high near 31°C (88–90°F) under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 21–22°C to afternoon peaks of 29–30°C, consistent with typical late-summer Po Valley conditions featuring high pressure, modest humidity, and strong insolation.
**Recent model consensus and on-the-day trends reinforce this range.** Updated forecasts from August 26–27 show stable atmospheric patterns without incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would suppress heating. Minor variations in guidance (e.g., 30°C vs. 32°C peaks) explain why the market assigns the bulk of probability to 30°C (51.5%) and 31°C (36%), while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Official resolution will depend on the precise maximum recorded at the reference station, with traders weighting the latest observational data and short-range model runs most heavily.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limc
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$21,729End Date
Aug 27, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=limcResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and observational data position 30–31°C as the most likely maximum temperature in Milan on August 27, 2026.** Multiple authoritative sources, including ilMeteo.it and WeatherBug, indicate a daytime high near 31°C (88–90°F) under partly cloudy skies with light southeasterly winds and minimal precipitation risk. Hourly profiles show temperatures climbing from overnight lows around 21–22°C to afternoon peaks of 29–30°C, consistent with typical late-summer Po Valley conditions featuring high pressure, modest humidity, and strong insolation. **Recent model consensus and on-the-day trends reinforce this range.** Updated forecasts from August 26–27 show stable atmospheric patterns without incoming fronts or significant cloud cover that would suppress heating. Minor variations in guidance (e.g., 30°C vs. 32°C peaks) explain why the market assigns the bulk of probability to 30°C (51.5%) and 31°C (36%), while lower or higher outcomes remain low-probability outliers. Official resolution will depend on the precise maximum recorded at the reference station, with traders weighting the latest observational data and short-range model runs most heavily.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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