The race for second place in Morocco’s September 23, 2026, House of Representatives elections remains tightly contested among the three parties in the incumbent coalition, with trader pricing reflecting comparable implied probabilities for the Istiqlal Party (PI), National Rally of Independents (RNI), and Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM). Recent momentum has shifted toward the PAM following Budget Minister Fouzi Lekjaa’s July 2026 affiliation and his positioning as a high-profile candidate ahead of the 2030 World Cup cycle, while the RNI retains organizational strength despite leadership transitions and the PI draws on longstanding territorial networks even as its early frontrunner status faded. High undecided voters, widespread distrust in government performance on prices and social issues, and the decisive role of local candidate quality across constituencies keep the outcome fluid. Final candidate lists, the September 10 campaign launch, and any late regional polling could quickly widen or narrow gaps among the three.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedPI 35.9%
RNI 35%
PAM 21%
PPS 4.8%
$31,180 Vol.
$31,180 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
PI
36%
RNI
34%
PAM
21%
PPS
5%
UC
1%
PJD
1%
USFP
<1%
MP
<1%
PI 35.9%
RNI 35%
PAM 21%
PPS 4.8%
$31,180 Vol.
$31,180 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
PI
$15,566 Vol.
36%
RNI
$7,306 Vol.
34%
PAM
$5,451 Vol.
21%
PPS
$511 Vol.
5%
UC
$512 Vol.
1%
PJD
$730 Vol.
1%
USFP
$515 Vol.
<1%
MP
$590 Vol.
<1%
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The race for second place in Morocco’s September 23, 2026, House of Representatives elections remains tightly contested among the three parties in the incumbent coalition, with trader pricing reflecting comparable implied probabilities for the Istiqlal Party (PI), National Rally of Independents (RNI), and Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM). Recent momentum has shifted toward the PAM following Budget Minister Fouzi Lekjaa’s July 2026 affiliation and his positioning as a high-profile candidate ahead of the 2030 World Cup cycle, while the RNI retains organizational strength despite leadership transitions and the PI draws on longstanding territorial networks even as its early frontrunner status faded. High undecided voters, widespread distrust in government performance on prices and social issues, and the decisive role of local candidate quality across constituencies keep the outcome fluid. Final candidate lists, the September 10 campaign launch, and any late regional polling could quickly widen or narrow gaps among the three.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ET
Volume
$31,180End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.The race for second place in Morocco’s September 23, 2026, House of Representatives elections remains tightly contested among the three parties in the incumbent coalition, with trader pricing reflecting comparable implied probabilities for the Istiqlal Party (PI), National Rally of Independents (RNI), and Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM). Recent momentum has shifted toward the PAM following Budget Minister Fouzi Lekjaa’s July 2026 affiliation and his positioning as a high-profile candidate ahead of the 2030 World Cup cycle, while the RNI retains organizational strength despite leadership transitions and the PI draws on longstanding territorial networks even as its early frontrunner status faded. High undecided voters, widespread distrust in government performance on prices and social issues, and the decisive role of local candidate quality across constituencies keep the outcome fluid. Final candidate lists, the September 10 campaign launch, and any late regional polling could quickly widen or narrow gaps among the three.
Legislative elections to elect the House of Representatives of Morocco are scheduled to take place on September 23, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the second-most number of seats in the House of Representatives of Morocco as a result of this election.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Moroccan government, including the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.elections.ma/).
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Volume
$31,180End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 6:23 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The race for second place in Morocco’s September 23, 2026, House of Representatives elections remains tightly contested among the three parties in the incumbent coalition, with trader pricing reflecting comparable implied probabilities for the Istiqlal Party (PI), National Rally of Independents (RNI), and Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM). Recent momentum has shifted toward the PAM following Budget Minister Fouzi Lekjaa’s July 2026 affiliation and his positioning as a high-profile candidate ahead of the 2030 World Cup cycle, while the RNI retains organizational strength despite leadership transitions and the PI draws on longstanding territorial networks even as its early frontrunner status faded. High undecided voters, widespread distrust in government performance on prices and social issues, and the decisive role of local candidate quality across constituencies keep the outcome fluid. Final candidate lists, the September 10 campaign launch, and any late regional polling could quickly widen or narrow gaps among the three.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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