The fragmented probabilities in the Nayarit gubernatorial race reflect Morena's dominant party identification in recent polls alongside an unresolved internal selection process. Aspirants including Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, and Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez formalized registrations in late August 2026 for a survey-based decision on the party's 2027 nominee. Multiple surveys from June and July show Santana frequently leading or competitive within Morena, while the alliance holds 40-60% statewide preference against smaller shares for PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano. Trader consensus remains split until the nominee is confirmed and head-to-head polling clarifies separation among frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHéctor Javier Santana García 46%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 13.8%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 8%
Héctor Santana García 5.4%
$24,463 Vol.
$24,463 Vol.
Jun 6, 2027
Héctor Javier Santana García
46%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
9%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
8%
Héctor Santana García
5%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
4%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
3%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
3%
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
2%
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
2%
Luis Zamora Carrillo
1%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
1%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
1%
Nadia Ramírez López
1%
María Elizabeth López Blanco
1%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
1%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
<1%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
<1%
José Antonio Barajas López
<1%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
19%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
<1%
Ignacio Flores Medina
<1%
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
<1%
Enrique Díaz López
<1%
Héctor Javier Santana García 46%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez 13.8%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez 8%
Héctor Santana García 5.4%
$24,463 Vol.
$24,463 Vol.
Jun 6, 2027
Héctor Javier Santana García
$7,235 Vol.
46%
Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez
$1,678 Vol.
9%
Geraldine Ponce Méndez
$8,295 Vol.
8%
Héctor Santana García
$354 Vol.
5%
Hilaria Domínguez Arvizu
$386 Vol.
4%
José Ramón Cambero Pérez
$364 Vol.
3%
Manuel Cota Jiménez
$363 Vol.
3%
Citlalli Rubí Huerta
$350 Vol.
2%
Gloria Núñez Sánchez
$323 Vol.
2%
Luis Zamora Carrillo
$391 Vol.
1%
Gustavo Ayón Aguirre
$351 Vol.
1%
Ivonne Sabrina Díaz
$424 Vol.
1%
Nadia Ramírez López
$345 Vol.
1%
María Elizabeth López Blanco
$343 Vol.
1%
Ivideliza Reyes Hernández
$344 Vol.
1%
Pavel Jarero Velázquez
$354 Vol.
<1%
Jesús Armando Vélez Macías
$344 Vol.
<1%
José Antonio Barajas López
$418 Vol.
<1%
Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez
$344 Vol.
19%
Paola Vargas Arciniega
$344 Vol.
<1%
Ignacio Flores Medina
$345 Vol.
<1%
Julieta Mejía Ibáñez
$410 Vol.
<1%
Enrique Díaz López
$361 Vol.
<1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The fragmented probabilities in the Nayarit gubernatorial race reflect Morena's dominant party identification in recent polls alongside an unresolved internal selection process. Aspirants including Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, and Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez formalized registrations in late August 2026 for a survey-based decision on the party's 2027 nominee. Multiple surveys from June and July show Santana frequently leading or competitive within Morena, while the alliance holds 40-60% statewide preference against smaller shares for PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano. Trader consensus remains split until the nominee is confirmed and head-to-head polling clarifies separation among frontrunners.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Volume
$24,463End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The fragmented probabilities in the Nayarit gubernatorial race reflect Morena's dominant party identification in recent polls alongside an unresolved internal selection process. Aspirants including Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, and Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez formalized registrations in late August 2026 for a survey-based decision on the party's 2027 nominee. Multiple surveys from June and July show Santana frequently leading or competitive within Morena, while the alliance holds 40-60% statewide preference against smaller shares for PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano. Trader consensus remains split until the nominee is confirmed and head-to-head polling clarifies separation among frontrunners.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Nayarit on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nayarit gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Nayarit and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Nayarit and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$24,463End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The fragmented probabilities in the Nayarit gubernatorial race reflect Morena's dominant party identification in recent polls alongside an unresolved internal selection process. Aspirants including Héctor Santana García, Geraldine Ponce Méndez, Jasmine Bugarín Rodríguez, and Jorge Armando Ortiz Rodríguez formalized registrations in late August 2026 for a survey-based decision on the party's 2027 nominee. Multiple surveys from June and July show Santana frequently leading or competitive within Morena, while the alliance holds 40-60% statewide preference against smaller shares for PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano. Trader consensus remains split until the nominee is confirmed and head-to-head polling clarifies separation among frontrunners.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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