**Recent polling for Piura's October 4, 2026, provincial mayoral election shows a fragmented field with Miguel Cueva Celi (Somos Perú), Jorge Flores Bazán (Alianza para el Progreso), and José Morey Requejo among the leading contenders.** August surveys from registered firms such as Luna Consultores and Piura Data Consultores place the top names within a narrow band of roughly 13–22 percent, with no candidate consistently above 25 percent and substantial undecided or distributed support across more than a dozen other listed aspirants. This distribution aligns with the market's tight pricing among the named frontrunners and lower implied probabilities for the long tail of candidates. The absence of an incumbent seeking re-election and the simultaneous regional and municipal contests contribute to vote splitting, while local priorities such as river desilting, infrastructure gaps, and El Niño risk mitigation remain salient but have not yet produced decisive shifts in published data. Trader consensus therefore reflects a competitive, multi-candidate race in which modest changes in turnout, late endorsements, or additional polling could alter relative positioning ahead of election day.