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Politics·Mexico

Querétaro Governor Election Winner

icon for Querétaro Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Querétaro Governor Election Winner

Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero 37%

Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 32%

Santiago Nieto Castillo 26.2%

Teresa Calzada Rovirosa 3.6%

Polymarket

$23,880 Vol.

Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero 37%

Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 32%

Santiago Nieto Castillo 26.2%

Teresa Calzada Rovirosa 3.6%

Polymarket

$23,880 Vol.

icon for Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero

Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero

$7,444 Vol.

37%

icon for Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera

Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera

$2,655 Vol.

32%

icon for Santiago Nieto Castillo

Santiago Nieto Castillo

$1,447 Vol.

26%

icon for Teresa Calzada Rovirosa

Teresa Calzada Rovirosa

$507 Vol.

4%

icon for Abigail Arredondo Ramos

Abigail Arredondo Ramos

$470 Vol.

3%

icon for Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri

Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri

$586 Vol.

3%

icon for Laura Patricia Polo Herrera

Laura Patricia Polo Herrera

$606 Vol.

3%

icon for José María Tapia Franco

José María Tapia Franco

$556 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josué Guerrero Trápala

Josué Guerrero Trápala

$472 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Astudillo Suárez

Ricardo Astudillo Suárez

$480 Vol.

<1%

icon for Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez

Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez

$613 Vol.

<1%

icon for Manuel Garrido Patrón

Manuel Garrido Patrón

$1,065 Vol.

<1%

icon for Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez

Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez

$665 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paul Ospital Carrera

Paul Ospital Carrera

$562 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gilberto Herrera Ruiz

Gilberto Herrera Ruiz

$560 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes

Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes

$2,010 Vol.

<1%

icon for Agustín Hernández Ortiz

Agustín Hernández Ortiz

$560 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Mauro Ramírez González

Mario Mauro Ramírez González

$941 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero

Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero

$599 Vol.

<1%

icon for Paulina Aguado Romero

Paulina Aguado Romero

$541 Vol.

<1%

icon for Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez

Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez

$542 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**The Querétaro governor race remains closely contested in trader pricing because the PAN has yet to finalize its nominee among leading aspirants Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero, Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera, and Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri, while Morena has consolidated behind Santiago Nieto Castillo following his late-August 2026 selection as state coordinator for the 4T.** Recent polling shows the PAN maintaining a party preference edge in this longtime stronghold, but head-to-head matchups against Nieto narrow the gap depending on the PAN standard-bearer. Nieto's national profile and Morena-PT-PVEM coalition backing provide a credible challenge, offset by the PAN's institutional continuity under incumbent Mauricio Kuri and ongoing internal unity efforts. Further PAN internal surveys, formal candidate selection, and any shifts in state-level economic or security perceptions ahead of the June 2027 vote could widen separation among the top contenders.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$23,880
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.**The Querétaro governor race remains closely contested in trader pricing because the PAN has yet to finalize its nominee among leading aspirants Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero, Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera, and Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri, while Morena has consolidated behind Santiago Nieto Castillo following his late-August 2026 selection as state coordinator for the 4T.** Recent polling shows the PAN maintaining a party preference edge in this longtime stronghold, but head-to-head matchups against Nieto narrow the gap depending on the PAN standard-bearer. Nieto's national profile and Morena-PT-PVEM coalition backing provide a credible challenge, offset by the PAN's institutional continuity under incumbent Mauricio Kuri and ongoing internal unity efforts. Further PAN internal surveys, formal candidate selection, and any shifts in state-level economic or security perceptions ahead of the June 2027 vote could widen separation among the top contenders.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$23,880
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Querétaro Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero" at 37%, followed by "Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Querétaro Governor Election Winner" has generated $23.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Querétaro Governor Election Winner," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Querétaro Governor Election Winner" is "Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Querétaro Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.