**Elaine Pelino holds a strong lead in the Rhode Island Republican primary for governor, driven by consistent polling advantages over party-endorsed rival Aaron Guckian ahead of the September 9 vote.** Recent surveys, including a University of New Hampshire poll from late June and an Embold Research poll in early August, show Pelino ahead by roughly 20 points among likely Republican primary voters, with large shares still undecided. Pelino, a political newcomer emphasizing government accountability, spending restraint, education reform, and law enforcement support, has built grassroots momentum in a low-turnout primary environment. Guckian secured the state GOP endorsement at the June convention but trails in voter surveys despite his prior runs and party ties. Minor candidates including Robert Raimondo have withdrawn, leaving the contest effectively between the two frontrunners as early voting begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedElaine Pelino 86%
Aaron Guckian 14.7%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$41,241 Vol.
$41,241 Vol.
Elaine Pelino
86%
Aaron Guckian
15%
Robert Raimondo
<1%
Ashley Kalus
<1%
Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
Elaine Pelino 86%
Aaron Guckian 14.7%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$41,241 Vol.
$41,241 Vol.
Elaine Pelino
86%
Aaron Guckian
15%
Robert Raimondo
<1%
Ashley Kalus
<1%
Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Elaine Pelino holds a strong lead in the Rhode Island Republican primary for governor, driven by consistent polling advantages over party-endorsed rival Aaron Guckian ahead of the September 9 vote.** Recent surveys, including a University of New Hampshire poll from late June and an Embold Research poll in early August, show Pelino ahead by roughly 20 points among likely Republican primary voters, with large shares still undecided. Pelino, a political newcomer emphasizing government accountability, spending restraint, education reform, and law enforcement support, has built grassroots momentum in a low-turnout primary environment. Guckian secured the state GOP endorsement at the June convention but trails in voter surveys despite his prior runs and party ties. Minor candidates including Robert Raimondo have withdrawn, leaving the contest effectively between the two frontrunners as early voting begins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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