The Moderate Party holds a clear lead in trader consensus for third place in Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, followed by the Sweden Democrats, with all other parties priced near zero. Recent Indikator Opinion, Demoskop, and Novus surveys show the Social Democrats maintaining a substantial lead near 30–31 percent, while the Moderates have narrowed the gap to the Sweden Democrats to roughly one point or less in several August polls amid a broader tightening between the Tidö-aligned bloc and the centre-left opposition. Campaign focus on cost-of-living pressures, crime, and energy has coincided with modest gains for the Moderates and continued weakness for the Liberals below the four-percent threshold. With the election only weeks away, remaining volatility in individual-party shares between the second- and third-placed contenders continues to shape positioning in the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Sweden Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Moderate Party (M) 64%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 33%
Left Party (V) <1%
Green Party (MP) <1%
$57,755 Vol.
$57,755 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
33%
Moderate Party (M)
64%
Centre Party (C)
<1%
Left Party (V)
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
<1%
Green Party (MP)
<1%
Liberals (L)
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
<1%
Moderate Party (M) 64%
Sweden Democrats (SD) 33%
Left Party (V) <1%
Green Party (MP) <1%
$57,755 Vol.
$57,755 Vol.
Sep 12, 2026
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$5,472 Vol.
<1%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$9,964 Vol.
33%
Moderate Party (M)
$20,622 Vol.
64%
Centre Party (C)
$3,734 Vol.
<1%
Left Party (V)
$4,779 Vol.
<1%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$2,569 Vol.
<1%
Green Party (MP)
$3,997 Vol.
<1%
Liberals (L)
$3,106 Vol.
<1%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$3,511 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).The Moderate Party holds a clear lead in trader consensus for third place in Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, followed by the Sweden Democrats, with all other parties priced near zero. Recent Indikator Opinion, Demoskop, and Novus surveys show the Social Democrats maintaining a substantial lead near 30–31 percent, while the Moderates have narrowed the gap to the Sweden Democrats to roughly one point or less in several August polls amid a broader tightening between the Tidö-aligned bloc and the centre-left opposition. Campaign focus on cost-of-living pressures, crime, and energy has coincided with modest gains for the Moderates and continued weakness for the Liberals below the four-percent threshold. With the election only weeks away, remaining volatility in individual-party shares between the second- and third-placed contenders continues to shape positioning in the market.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ET
Volume
$57,755End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).The Moderate Party holds a clear lead in trader consensus for third place in Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, followed by the Sweden Democrats, with all other parties priced near zero. Recent Indikator Opinion, Demoskop, and Novus surveys show the Social Democrats maintaining a substantial lead near 30–31 percent, while the Moderates have narrowed the gap to the Sweden Democrats to roughly one point or less in several August polls amid a broader tightening between the Tidö-aligned bloc and the centre-left opposition. Campaign focus on cost-of-living pressures, crime, and energy has coincided with modest gains for the Moderates and continued weakness for the Liberals below the four-percent threshold. With the election only weeks away, remaining volatility in individual-party shares between the second- and third-placed contenders continues to shape positioning in the market.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$57,755End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
May 19, 2026, 4:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Moderate Party holds a clear lead in trader consensus for third place in Sweden’s September 13 parliamentary election, followed by the Sweden Democrats, with all other parties priced near zero. Recent Indikator Opinion, Demoskop, and Novus surveys show the Social Democrats maintaining a substantial lead near 30–31 percent, while the Moderates have narrowed the gap to the Sweden Democrats to roughly one point or less in several August polls amid a broader tightening between the Tidö-aligned bloc and the centre-left opposition. Campaign focus on cost-of-living pressures, crime, and energy has coincided with modest gains for the Moderates and continued weakness for the Liberals below the four-percent threshold. With the election only weeks away, remaining volatility in individual-party shares between the second- and third-placed contenders continues to shape positioning in the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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