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Politics·Taiwan

Tainan Mayor Election Winner

icon for Tainan Mayor Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Tainan Mayor Election Winner

Chen Ting-fei 89%

Hsieh Lung-chieh 5%

Lin Yi-feng <1%

Lin Chun-hsien <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Chen Ting-fei 89%

Hsieh Lung-chieh 5%

Lin Yi-feng <1%

Lin Chun-hsien <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Chen Ting-fei

Chen Ting-fei

$2,467 Vol.

89%

icon for Hsieh Lung-chieh

Hsieh Lung-chieh

$487 Vol.

5%

icon for Lin Yi-feng

Lin Yi-feng

$176 Vol.

1%

icon for Lin Chun-hsien

Lin Chun-hsien

$157 Vol.

1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Chen Ting-fei holds an overwhelming lead in the Tainan mayoral race** as the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) nominee for the November 28, 2026, election. She secured the nomination in a January 2026 primary by outperforming fellow legislator Lin Chun-hsien in head-to-head polling against Kuomintang (KMT) candidate Hsieh Lung-chieh. Tainan has been a DPP stronghold since becoming a special municipality in 2010, with strong local party organization and voter base favoring DPP continuity. Recent developments reinforce this positioning. A late-August 2026 poll showed 70.9% satisfaction with incumbent DPP Mayor Huang Wei-che’s eight-year record, particularly in social welfare, health care, culture, and tourism. Chen’s early-August campaign launch featured Huang as campaign headquarters director and President Lai Ching-te as honorary chair, signaling unified party support and a deliberate “one baton to the next” handover. Hsieh, the KMT nominee since December 2025 and a repeat challenger who received 43% in 2022, trails significantly in historical matchups against Chen. Candidate registration opens August 31–September 4, 2026, with Hsieh set to file on September 1. Other listed names reflect low-probability independents or minor entrants. Market pricing reflects the structural DPP advantage, recent polling momentum, and absence of major disruptions within the three-month window to election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,287
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Chen Ting-fei holds an overwhelming lead in the Tainan mayoral race** as the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) nominee for the November 28, 2026, election. She secured the nomination in a January 2026 primary by outperforming fellow legislator Lin Chun-hsien in head-to-head polling against Kuomintang (KMT) candidate Hsieh Lung-chieh. Tainan has been a DPP stronghold since becoming a special municipality in 2010, with strong local party organization and voter base favoring DPP continuity. Recent developments reinforce this positioning. A late-August 2026 poll showed 70.9% satisfaction with incumbent DPP Mayor Huang Wei-che’s eight-year record, particularly in social welfare, health care, culture, and tourism. Chen’s early-August campaign launch featured Huang as campaign headquarters director and President Lai Ching-te as honorary chair, signaling unified party support and a deliberate “one baton to the next” handover. Hsieh, the KMT nominee since December 2025 and a repeat challenger who received 43% in 2022, trails significantly in historical matchups against Chen. Candidate registration opens August 31–September 4, 2026, with Hsieh set to file on September 1. Other listed names reflect low-probability independents or minor entrants. Market pricing reflects the structural DPP advantage, recent polling momentum, and absence of major disruptions within the three-month window to election day.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$3,287
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:51 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Tainan as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Tainan Mayor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chen Ting-fei" at 89%, followed by "Hsieh Lung-chieh" at 5%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 89¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Tainan Mayor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Tainan Mayor Election Winner," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Tainan Mayor Election Winner" is "Chen Ting-fei" at 89%, meaning the market assigns a 89% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Hsieh Lung-chieh" at 5%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Tainan Mayor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.