Chiang Wan-an holds a commanding lead in the Taipei mayoral race as the KMT incumbent seeking re-election in the November 2026 vote, with trader consensus reflecting his consistent polling advantages and high personal approval ratings near 65 percent in a city that leans toward the party. Nominated by the KMT for another term, he faces the DPP's Puma Shen as the primary challenger, though early surveys such as TVBS have shown Chiang ahead by wide margins. Candidate registration opens at the end of August, with no major late-breaking shifts reported that would alter the balance. Potential challenges remain limited to unforeseen campaign developments, turnout changes among key voter blocs, or unexpected opposition consolidation, though current evidence points to structural advantages favoring the incumbent's position.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTaipei Mayor Election Winner
Taipei Mayor Election Winner
Chiang Wan-an 92%
Puma Shen 7.6%
Kuo Hsi <1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Chiang Wan-an
92%
Puma Shen
8%
Kuo Hsi
<1%
Chiang Wan-an 92%
Puma Shen 7.6%
Kuo Hsi <1%
NEW
NEW
Jun 30, 2027
Chiang Wan-an
$2,522 Vol.
92%
Puma Shen
$1,461 Vol.
8%
Kuo Hsi
$473 Vol.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an holds a commanding lead in the Taipei mayoral race as the KMT incumbent seeking re-election in the November 2026 vote, with trader consensus reflecting his consistent polling advantages and high personal approval ratings near 65 percent in a city that leans toward the party. Nominated by the KMT for another term, he faces the DPP's Puma Shen as the primary challenger, though early surveys such as TVBS have shown Chiang ahead by wide margins. Candidate registration opens at the end of August, with no major late-breaking shifts reported that would alter the balance. Potential challenges remain limited to unforeseen campaign developments, turnout changes among key voter blocs, or unexpected opposition consolidation, though current evidence points to structural advantages favoring the incumbent's position.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ET
Volume
$4,457End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chiang Wan-an holds a commanding lead in the Taipei mayoral race as the KMT incumbent seeking re-election in the November 2026 vote, with trader consensus reflecting his consistent polling advantages and high personal approval ratings near 65 percent in a city that leans toward the party. Nominated by the KMT for another term, he faces the DPP's Puma Shen as the primary challenger, though early surveys such as TVBS have shown Chiang ahead by wide margins. Candidate registration opens at the end of August, with no major late-breaking shifts reported that would alter the balance. Potential challenges remain limited to unforeseen campaign developments, turnout changes among key voter blocs, or unexpected opposition consolidation, though current evidence points to structural advantages favoring the incumbent's position.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$4,457End Date
Nov 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 8:24 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Chiang Wan-an holds a commanding lead in the Taipei mayoral race as the KMT incumbent seeking re-election in the November 2026 vote, with trader consensus reflecting his consistent polling advantages and high personal approval ratings near 65 percent in a city that leans toward the party. Nominated by the KMT for another term, he faces the DPP's Puma Shen as the primary challenger, though early surveys such as TVBS have shown Chiang ahead by wide margins. Candidate registration opens at the end of August, with no major late-breaking shifts reported that would alter the balance. Potential challenges remain limited to unforeseen campaign developments, turnout changes among key voter blocs, or unexpected opposition consolidation, though current evidence points to structural advantages favoring the incumbent's position.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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