Skip to main content
icon for Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner

Wu Hsiu-hua 87%

Chen Ying 14%

Li Wu Ying-chih <1%

Polymarket
NEW

Wu Hsiu-hua 87%

Chen Ying 14%

Li Wu Ying-chih <1%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Wu Hsiu-hua

Wu Hsiu-hua

$3,975 Vol.

87%

icon for Chen Ying

Chen Ying

$2,568 Vol.

14%

icon for Li Wu Ying-chih

Li Wu Ying-chih

$1,124 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent Taitung County Council speaker, dominates trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election, reflecting the county’s long-standing KMT structural advantage and history of no Democratic Progressive Party wins in the office. KMT nominated Wu in December 2025 to replace term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling, while the DPP selected legislator Chen Ying in October 2025; former DPP legislator Liu Chao-hao’s July 31 withdrawal consolidated opposition support behind Chen without materially shifting odds. A May 2026 CNEWS poll showed Wu leading 51-22 in a head-to-head matchup, consistent with Taitung’s partisan lean and the market’s pricing of base rates over candidate-specific factors such as Chen’s indigenous background or Wu’s reported scrutiny over local infrastructure decisions. Candidate registration opens August 31.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$7,668
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang nominee and incumbent Taitung County Council speaker, dominates trader consensus at 86.5% implied probability for the November 28, 2026, magistrate election, reflecting the county’s long-standing KMT structural advantage and history of no Democratic Progressive Party wins in the office. KMT nominated Wu in December 2025 to replace term-limited incumbent Yao Ching-ling, while the DPP selected legislator Chen Ying in October 2025; former DPP legislator Liu Chao-hao’s July 31 withdrawal consolidated opposition support behind Chen without materially shifting odds. A May 2026 CNEWS poll showed Wu leading 51-22 in a head-to-head matchup, consistent with Taitung’s partisan lean and the market’s pricing of base rates over candidate-specific factors such as Chen’s indigenous background or Wu’s reported scrutiny over local infrastructure decisions. Candidate registration opens August 31.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$7,668
End Date
Nov 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Related

icon for Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?

Will Chou Chun-mi win the next Pingtung County Magistrate election?

87%
icon for Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?

Will Tsai Yi-yu win the next Chiayi County Magistrate election?

91%
icon for Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?

Will Chen Su-yueh win the next Changhua County Magistrate election?

80%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 3 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Wu Hsiu-hua" at 87%, followed by "Chen Ying" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 14, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 3 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Wu Hsiu-hua" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Chen Ying" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Taitung County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.