The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for August 2026 prints at 51.7, confirming the preliminary 51.0 reading and aligning with forecaster consensus near 51.0 after a 6% month-over-month decline from July’s 55.2. Persistent inflation concerns, including year-ahead expectations at 4.0% and gasoline price pressures tied to geopolitical tensions, combined with weakening one-year and five-year business outlooks, have anchored trader positioning in the 49.0–51.9 band. The survey’s methodology produces only modest final revisions relative to the mid-month preliminary, reinforcing the near-certain market-implied odds. A material shift outside this range would require an unusually large revision or unexpected data release, scenarios with limited historical precedent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated49.0–51.9 100.0%
<49.0 <1%
52.0–54.9 <1%
55.0–57.9 <1%
$41,785 Vol.
$41,785 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
No
49.0–51.9
Yes
52.0–54.9
No
55.0–57.9
No
58.0–60.9
No
61.0–63.9
No
64.0+
No
49.0–51.9 100.0%
<49.0 <1%
52.0–54.9 <1%
55.0–57.9 <1%
$41,785 Vol.
$41,785 Vol.
Aug 28, 2026
<49.0
$1,731 Vol.
No
49.0–51.9
$16,264 Vol.
Yes
52.0–54.9
$15,749 Vol.
No
55.0–57.9
$4,047 Vol.
No
58.0–60.9
$1,682 Vol.
No
61.0–63.9
$1,187 Vol.
No
64.0+
$1,125 Vol.
No
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for August 2026 prints at 51.7, confirming the preliminary 51.0 reading and aligning with forecaster consensus near 51.0 after a 6% month-over-month decline from July’s 55.2. Persistent inflation concerns, including year-ahead expectations at 4.0% and gasoline price pressures tied to geopolitical tensions, combined with weakening one-year and five-year business outlooks, have anchored trader positioning in the 49.0–51.9 band. The survey’s methodology produces only modest final revisions relative to the mid-month preliminary, reinforcing the near-certain market-implied odds. A material shift outside this range would require an unusually large revision or unexpected data release, scenarios with limited historical precedent.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET
Volume
$41,785End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for August 2026 prints at 51.7, confirming the preliminary 51.0 reading and aligning with forecaster consensus near 51.0 after a 6% month-over-month decline from July’s 55.2. Persistent inflation concerns, including year-ahead expectations at 4.0% and gasoline price pressures tied to geopolitical tensions, combined with weakening one-year and five-year business outlooks, have anchored trader positioning in the 49.0–51.9 band. The survey’s methodology produces only modest final revisions relative to the mid-month preliminary, reinforcing the near-certain market-implied odds. A material shift outside this range would require an unusually large revision or unexpected data release, scenarios with limited historical precedent.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.
The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.
Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$41,785End Date
Aug 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ETResolution Source
https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment final for August 2026 prints at 51.7, confirming the preliminary 51.0 reading and aligning with forecaster consensus near 51.0 after a 6% month-over-month decline from July’s 55.2. Persistent inflation concerns, including year-ahead expectations at 4.0% and gasoline price pressures tied to geopolitical tensions, combined with weakening one-year and five-year business outlooks, have anchored trader positioning in the 49.0–51.9 band. The survey’s methodology produces only modest final revisions relative to the mid-month preliminary, reinforcing the near-certain market-implied odds. A material shift outside this range would require an unusually large revision or unexpected data release, scenarios with limited historical precedent.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions