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Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

icon for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?
Politics·President

Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

$60,523 Vol.

Dec 30, 2026
Polymarket

$60,523 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$1,611 Vol.

88%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$111 Vol.

86%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$3,536 Vol.

83%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$1,642 Vol.

78%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$20 Vol.

78%

icon for Rahm Emanuel

Rahm Emanuel

$70 Vol.

77%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$1,077 Vol.

73%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$100 Vol.

64%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$858 Vol.

70%

icon for J.B. Pritzker

J.B. Pritzker

$45 Vol.

67%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$468 Vol.

75%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$126 Vol.

64%

icon for Andrew Yang

Andrew Yang

$1,559 Vol.

63%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$1,855 Vol.

62%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$120 Vol.

60%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$2,478 Vol.

53%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$0 Vol.

50%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$0 Vol.

47%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$1,623 Vol.

40%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$100 Vol.

39%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$835 Vol.

39%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$90 Vol.

38%

icon for Jared Polis

Jared Polis

$80 Vol.

36%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$121 Vol.

35%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$20 Vol.

33%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for Beto O’Rourke

Beto O’Rourke

$0 Vol.

29%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$468 Vol.

28%

icon for Don Lemon

Don Lemon

$0 Vol.

28%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$2,610 Vol.

35%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$262 Vol.

26%

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Marjorie Taylor Greene

$451 Vol.

26%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$482 Vol.

24%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$392 Vol.

24%

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Tucker Carlson

$2,483 Vol.

23%

icon for Phil Murphy

Phil Murphy

$563 Vol.

22%

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Byron Donalds

$64 Vol.

22%

icon for Liz Cheney

Liz Cheney

$1,351 Vol.

21%

icon for Gina Raimondo

Gina Raimondo

$1,076 Vol.

20%

icon for John Fetterman

John Fetterman

$1,659 Vol.

20%

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Elon Musk

$1,337 Vol.

20%

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George Clooney

$929 Vol.

20%

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Stephen A. Smith

$811 Vol.

19%

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Vivek Ramaswamy

$142 Vol.

18%

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Steve Bannon

$2,061 Vol.

18%

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Mark Cuban

$143 Vol.

18%

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Jon Stewart

$1,476 Vol.

17%

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Greg Abbott

$0 Vol.

16%

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Matt Gaetz

$0 Vol.

16%

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Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$725 Vol.

16%

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Mike Pence

$542 Vol.

16%

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Bernie Sanders

$1,000 Vol.

16%

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Michelle Obama

$783 Vol.

16%

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John Thune

$203 Vol.

15%

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Roy Cooper

$40 Vol.

15%

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Kim Kardashian

$4,067 Vol.

15%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$20 Vol.

14%

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Hunter Biden

$1,265 Vol.

14%

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Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$946 Vol.

14%

icon for Oprah Winfrey

Oprah Winfrey

$20 Vol.

13%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$0 Vol.

12%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$20 Vol.

12%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$4,121 Vol.

12%

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Zohran Mamdani

$1,489 Vol.

11%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$2,272 Vol.

10%

icon for MrBeast

MrBeast

$1,797 Vol.

9%

icon for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton

$3,122 Vol.

7%

icon for Chelsea Clinton

Chelsea Clinton

$63 Vol.

3%

icon for Barack Obama

Barack Obama

$626 Vol.

2%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$99 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No major candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of late August 2026.** Trader consensus assigns high probabilities to frontrunners such as Vice President JD Vance and former Vice President Kamala Harris due to their name recognition, polling leads, and structural advantages—Vance as the sitting vice president following historical patterns of party heirs, and Harris as the most recent Democratic nominee. Early positioning includes fundraising, visits to early primary states, and media appearances by figures like Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Marco Rubio, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. The Democratic National Committee’s recent primary calendar adjustments and the November 2026 midterms are expected to accelerate activity, with formal announcements typically occurring in 2027. Minor exploratory filings by lesser-known individuals have occurred, but outcomes remain fluid pending post-midterm developments, endorsements, and candidate statements through the resolution window of December 31, 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$60,523
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**No major candidates have formally announced 2028 presidential bids as of late August 2026.** Trader consensus assigns high probabilities to frontrunners such as Vice President JD Vance and former Vice President Kamala Harris due to their name recognition, polling leads, and structural advantages—Vance as the sitting vice president following historical patterns of party heirs, and Harris as the most recent Democratic nominee. Early positioning includes fundraising, visits to early primary states, and media appearances by figures like Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Marco Rubio, and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. The Democratic National Committee’s recent primary calendar adjustments and the November 2026 midterms are expected to accelerate activity, with formal announcements typically occurring in 2027. Minor exploratory filings by lesser-known individuals have occurred, but outcomes remain fluid pending post-midterm developments, endorsements, and candidate statements through the resolution window of December 31, 2027.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.

A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$60,523
End Date
Dec 31, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 71+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "J.D. Vance" at 88%, followed by "Pete Buttigieg" at 86%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 88¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" has generated $60.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 4, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?," browse the 71+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" is "J.D. Vance" at 88%, meaning the market assigns a 88% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Pete Buttigieg" at 86%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.