Recent polling from late August 2026, including ZDF and ARD surveys, places the AfD at 40-42% in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 state election, with the CDU at 22-23%, the Left at 11-13%, SPD at 8-9%, and Greens at 6%. These figures project the AfD as the largest party yet short of the roughly 42 seats needed for an absolute majority in the Landtag, as smaller parties clearing the 5% threshold fragment the seat distribution. State authorities classify the AfD as gesichert rechtsextremistisch, and other parties maintain a firewall against cooperation, further limiting any path to sole control. High undecided voter shares around 30% add uncertainty, but current data consistently point to no absolute majority.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Sachsen-Anhalt?
19% chance
$434,804 Vol.
$434,804 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
19% chance
$434,804 Vol.
$434,804 Vol.
Sep 5, 2026
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling from late August 2026, including ZDF and ARD surveys, places the AfD at 40-42% in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 state election, with the CDU at 22-23%, the Left at 11-13%, SPD at 8-9%, and Greens at 6%. These figures project the AfD as the largest party yet short of the roughly 42 seats needed for an absolute majority in the Landtag, as smaller parties clearing the 5% threshold fragment the seat distribution. State authorities classify the AfD as gesichert rechtsextremistisch, and other parties maintain a firewall against cooperation, further limiting any path to sole control. High undecided voter shares around 30% add uncertainty, but current data consistently point to no absolute majority.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Market Opened: May 12, 2026, 7:48 PM ET
Volume
$434,804End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).Recent polling from late August 2026, including ZDF and ARD surveys, places the AfD at 40-42% in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 state election, with the CDU at 22-23%, the Left at 11-13%, SPD at 8-9%, and Greens at 6%. These figures project the AfD as the largest party yet short of the roughly 42 seats needed for an absolute majority in the Landtag, as smaller parties clearing the 5% threshold fragment the seat distribution. State authorities classify the AfD as gesichert rechtsextremistisch, and other parties maintain a firewall against cooperation, further limiting any path to sole control. High undecided voter shares around 30% add uncertainty, but current data consistently point to no absolute majority.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt are scheduled to take place on September 6, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the party Alternative for Germany (AfD) wins an absolute majority of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur or the results are not known definitively by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "No".
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Volume
$434,804End Date
Sep 6, 2026Market Opened
May 12, 2026, 7:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polling from late August 2026, including ZDF and ARD surveys, places the AfD at 40-42% in Saxony-Anhalt ahead of the September 6 state election, with the CDU at 22-23%, the Left at 11-13%, SPD at 8-9%, and Greens at 6%. These figures project the AfD as the largest party yet short of the roughly 42 seats needed for an absolute majority in the Landtag, as smaller parties clearing the 5% threshold fragment the seat distribution. State authorities classify the AfD as gesichert rechtsextremistisch, and other parties maintain a firewall against cooperation, further limiting any path to sole control. High undecided voter shares around 30% add uncertainty, but current data consistently point to no absolute majority.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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