BFP holds the leading implied probability in the Bangsamoro Parliament election scheduled for September 14, 2026, amid ongoing political realignments in the region. High-profile defections of local officials and legislators from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), the political arm of the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, to the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) have strengthened the latter’s position ahead of the vote. BFP candidates secured several unopposed district seats, and the party received designation as the dominant minority party by COMELEC, while UBJP was named the dominant majority party. Recent campaign activities, including a multi-party debate, and security measures around the polls have underscored the contest between these two main contenders, with support fragmented across numerous smaller regional parties under the proportional representation system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBFP 60%
UBJP 33%
BGC <1%
Election Postponed/Canceled <1%
$78,448 Vol.
$78,448 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
BFP
60%
UBJP
33%
BGC
1%
Election Postponed/Canceled
1%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
<1%
LBIAA
<1%
ROHOSUMA
<1%
DTLO
<1%
TPWC
<1%
RSL
<1%
ABOT
<1%
BAPA
<1%
BEST PARTY
<1%
ISAMA
<1%
MAHARDIKA
<1%
MORO AKO
<1%
MUSHAWARA
<1%
PBB
<1%
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
<1%
C4P
<1%
RSEU
<1%
THE ROYALS
<1%
ROHOSUPA
<1%
ISLPI
<1%
BFP 60%
UBJP 33%
BGC <1%
Election Postponed/Canceled <1%
$78,448 Vol.
$78,448 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
BFP
$14,162 Vol.
60%
UBJP
$47,931 Vol.
33%
BGC
$1,066 Vol.
1%
Election Postponed/Canceled
$921 Vol.
1%
PRO BANGSAMORO PARTY
$743 Vol.
<1%
LBIAA
$967 Vol.
<1%
ROHOSUMA
$1,184 Vol.
<1%
DTLO
$738 Vol.
<1%
TPWC
$541 Vol.
<1%
RSL
$552 Vol.
<1%
ABOT
$671 Vol.
<1%
BAPA
$756 Vol.
<1%
BEST PARTY
$709 Vol.
<1%
ISAMA
$662 Vol.
<1%
MAHARDIKA
$707 Vol.
<1%
MORO AKO
$662 Vol.
<1%
MUSHAWARA
$701 Vol.
<1%
PBB
$596 Vol.
<1%
RAAYAT DEMOCRATIC PARTY
$637 Vol.
<1%
C4P
$789 Vol.
<1%
RSEU
$808 Vol.
<1%
THE ROYALS
$627 Vol.
<1%
ROHOSUPA
$642 Vol.
<1%
ISLPI
$673 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).BFP holds the leading implied probability in the Bangsamoro Parliament election scheduled for September 14, 2026, amid ongoing political realignments in the region. High-profile defections of local officials and legislators from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), the political arm of the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, to the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) have strengthened the latter’s position ahead of the vote. BFP candidates secured several unopposed district seats, and the party received designation as the dominant minority party by COMELEC, while UBJP was named the dominant majority party. Recent campaign activities, including a multi-party debate, and security measures around the polls have underscored the contest between these two main contenders, with support fragmented across numerous smaller regional parties under the proportional representation system.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Market Opened: Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ET
Volume
$78,448End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).BFP holds the leading implied probability in the Bangsamoro Parliament election scheduled for September 14, 2026, amid ongoing political realignments in the region. High-profile defections of local officials and legislators from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), the political arm of the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, to the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) have strengthened the latter’s position ahead of the vote. BFP candidates secured several unopposed district seats, and the party received designation as the dominant minority party by COMELEC, while UBJP was named the dominant majority party. Recent campaign activities, including a multi-party debate, and security measures around the polls have underscored the contest between these two main contenders, with support fragmented across numerous smaller regional parties under the proportional representation system.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Bangsamoro Parliament are scheduled to take place on September 14, 2026.
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the 2026 The Bangsamoro Autonomous Region of Muslim Mindanao (BARMM) Parliamentary Elections.
If the specified election is officially canceled, rescheduled to a date after September 14, 2026, or voting does not take place by that date, 11:59 PM Philippine Standard Time, this market will resolve to "Election Postponed/Canceled." If voting takes place by September 14, 2026, but the results are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid party-list votes. If the tie persists, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose name as listed in this market appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on the results as reported by the Philippine Commission on Elections (COMELEC) (https://www.comelec.gov.ph/).
Volume
$78,448End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 16, 2026, 10:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...BFP holds the leading implied probability in the Bangsamoro Parliament election scheduled for September 14, 2026, amid ongoing political realignments in the region. High-profile defections of local officials and legislators from the United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP), the political arm of the Moro Islamic Liberation Front, to the Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) have strengthened the latter’s position ahead of the vote. BFP candidates secured several unopposed district seats, and the party received designation as the dominant minority party by COMELEC, while UBJP was named the dominant majority party. Recent campaign activities, including a multi-party debate, and security measures around the polls have underscored the contest between these two main contenders, with support fragmented across numerous smaller regional parties under the proportional representation system.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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