Incumbent Governor Bala Mohammed's open support for Allied Peoples Movement candidate Yakubu Adamu, who secured APM's nomination and swept the recent local government elections, has given Adamu the narrowest edge in trader pricing at 42.5%. Former Governor Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar, who captured the APC ticket in late August after defeating rivals including Yusuf Tuggar, trades at 34.5% on the strength of party machinery and federal alignment. Other contenders such as Umar Shehu Buba, Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim, and Mohammed Aliyu remain under 2%, reflecting limited organizational reach or recent defections. The contest remains tight because the general election is still months away, with voter mobilization, possible court challenges, and cross-party realignments in Bauchi's multi-senatorial zones capable of shifting consensus before polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Bauchi, Nigeria Governor Election Winner
Yakubu Adamu 43%
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar 34%
Mohammed Aliyu 4.8%
Usman Supi 4.4%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Yakubu Adamu
43%
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar
37%
Mohammed Aliyu
5%
Usman Supi
4%
Umar Shehu Buba
2%
Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim
1%
Yakubu Adamu 43%
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar 34%
Mohammed Aliyu 4.8%
Usman Supi 4.4%
NEW
NEW
Feb 6, 2027
Yakubu Adamu
$4,564 Vol.
43%
Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar
$3,982 Vol.
37%
Mohammed Aliyu
$191 Vol.
5%
Usman Supi
$228 Vol.
4%
Umar Shehu Buba
$249 Vol.
2%
Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim
$149 Vol.
1%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent Governor Bala Mohammed's open support for Allied Peoples Movement candidate Yakubu Adamu, who secured APM's nomination and swept the recent local government elections, has given Adamu the narrowest edge in trader pricing at 42.5%. Former Governor Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar, who captured the APC ticket in late August after defeating rivals including Yusuf Tuggar, trades at 34.5% on the strength of party machinery and federal alignment. Other contenders such as Umar Shehu Buba, Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim, and Mohammed Aliyu remain under 2%, reflecting limited organizational reach or recent defections. The contest remains tight because the general election is still months away, with voter mobilization, possible court challenges, and cross-party realignments in Bauchi's multi-senatorial zones capable of shifting consensus before polls.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Volume
$9,363End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.Incumbent Governor Bala Mohammed's open support for Allied Peoples Movement candidate Yakubu Adamu, who secured APM's nomination and swept the recent local government elections, has given Adamu the narrowest edge in trader pricing at 42.5%. Former Governor Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar, who captured the APC ticket in late August after defeating rivals including Yusuf Tuggar, trades at 34.5% on the strength of party machinery and federal alignment. Other contenders such as Umar Shehu Buba, Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim, and Mohammed Aliyu remain under 2%, reflecting limited organizational reach or recent defections. The contest remains tight because the general election is still months away, with voter mobilization, possible court challenges, and cross-party realignments in Bauchi's multi-senatorial zones capable of shifting consensus before polls.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Bauchi State, Nigeria, on February 6, 2027. If the election is officially rescheduled, this market will resolve based on the election held to choose the Governor for the term beginning in 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Bauchi State gubernatorial election. Any interim, acting, or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
To be elected Governor, a candidate must satisfy the requirements under Nigerian law, including receiving the highest number of votes cast and the constitutionally required geographic distribution of votes. If no candidate wins the election outright, this market will remain open to account for any further election or runoff, provided this occurs before the resolution deadline. If no candidate has been officially elected by the resolution deadline, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results published by Nigeria's Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC) and Nigerian government sources.
Volume
$9,363End Date
Feb 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Governor Bala Mohammed's open support for Allied Peoples Movement candidate Yakubu Adamu, who secured APM's nomination and swept the recent local government elections, has given Adamu the narrowest edge in trader pricing at 42.5%. Former Governor Mohammed Abdullahi Abubakar, who captured the APC ticket in late August after defeating rivals including Yusuf Tuggar, trades at 34.5% on the strength of party machinery and federal alignment. Other contenders such as Umar Shehu Buba, Ibrahim Muhammad Kashim, and Mohammed Aliyu remain under 2%, reflecting limited organizational reach or recent defections. The contest remains tight because the general election is still months away, with voter mobilization, possible court challenges, and cross-party realignments in Bauchi's multi-senatorial zones capable of shifting consensus before polls.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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