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Politics·Mexico

Colima Governor Election Winner

icon for Colima Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Colima Governor Election Winner

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 79%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 6.3%

Griselda Martínez Martínez 3.1%

Mario Delgado Carrillo 2.5%

Polymarket

$31,187 Vol.

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera 79%

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez 6.3%

Griselda Martínez Martínez 3.1%

Mario Delgado Carrillo 2.5%

Polymarket

$31,187 Vol.

icon for Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera

Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera

$20,454 Vol.

79%

icon for Riult Rivera Gutiérrez

Riult Rivera Gutiérrez

$1,153 Vol.

6%

icon for Griselda Martínez Martínez

Griselda Martínez Martínez

$985 Vol.

3%

icon for Mario Delgado Carrillo

Mario Delgado Carrillo

$1,446 Vol.

3%

icon for Gricelda Valencia de la Mora

Gricelda Valencia de la Mora

$866 Vol.

2%

icon for María Cristina Lupien

María Cristina Lupien

$403 Vol.

1%

icon for Joel Padilla Peña

Joel Padilla Peña

$314 Vol.

1%

icon for Gabriela Benavides Cobos

Gabriela Benavides Cobos

$334 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sofía Peralta Ferro

Sofía Peralta Ferro

$354 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mely Romero Celis

Mely Romero Celis

$408 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Rojas Orozco

Enrique Rojas Orozco

$419 Vol.

<1%

icon for Esther Gutiérrez

Esther Gutiérrez

$379 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hilda Lizette Moreno

Hilda Lizette Moreno

$316 Vol.

<1%

icon for Margarita Moreno González

Margarita Moreno González

$385 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Israel González

José Israel González

$340 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Yáñez Centeno

César Yáñez Centeno

$377 Vol.

<1%

icon for Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez

Leoncio Alfonso Morán Sánchez

$341 Vol.

<1%

icon for Viridiana Valencia Vargas

Viridiana Valencia Vargas

$424 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ana Karen Hernández Aceves

Ana Karen Hernández Aceves

$395 Vol.

<1%

icon for Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua

Virgilio Mendoza Amezcua

$335 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Manuel Romero Coello

José Manuel Romero Coello

$377 Vol.

<1%

icon for Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo

Julia Licet Jiménez Angulo

$382 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds the highest trader-implied probability for the June 2027 Colima gubernatorial election following her late-August 2026 designation by Morena as state coordinator for the defense of the transformation. This internal selection, based on party surveys, positions her as the leading contender for the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition ticket. Recent statewide polling shows the coalition holding a substantial lead over PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano, consistent with the incumbent Morena administration’s performance. Opposition figures such as Riult Rivera Gutiérrez register far lower consensus probabilities amid a fragmented field and earlier internal party preferences. The election timeline begins formal candidate registration processes in late 2026, with no major shifts in alliances or legal challenges reported in the past month.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$31,187
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera holds the highest trader-implied probability for the June 2027 Colima gubernatorial election following her late-August 2026 designation by Morena as state coordinator for the defense of the transformation. This internal selection, based on party surveys, positions her as the leading contender for the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition ticket. Recent statewide polling shows the coalition holding a substantial lead over PAN, PRI, and Movimiento Ciudadano, consistent with the incumbent Morena administration’s performance. Opposition figures such as Riult Rivera Gutiérrez register far lower consensus probabilities amid a fragmented field and earlier internal party preferences. The election timeline begins formal candidate registration processes in late 2026, with no major shifts in alliances or legal challenges reported in the past month.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$31,187
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Colima on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Colima gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Colima and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Colima and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Colima Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera" at 79%, followed by "Riult Rivera Gutiérrez" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Colima Governor Election Winner" has generated $31.2K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Colima Governor Election Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Colima Governor Election Winner" is "Rosa María Bayardo Cabrera" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Riult Rivera Gutiérrez" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Colima Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.